Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#278
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#291
Pace69.1#147
Improvement+5.3#28

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#271
First Shot-4.3#297
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#115
Layup/Dunks-2.7#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#302
Freethrows-0.9#259
Improvement+0.4#166

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#264
First Shot-3.4#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#136
Layups/Dunks+0.9#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#156
Freethrows-4.2#354
Improvement+4.9#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 412 - 912 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 332   @ Alabama A&M L 73-82 58%     0 - 1 -17.6 -0.1 -17.3
  Nov 13, 2021 196   Norfolk St. L 59-66 31%     0 - 2 -8.6 -21.4 +13.7
  Nov 21, 2021 202   @ South Dakota L 66-83 25%     0 - 3 -16.7 -11.0 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2021 116   @ Nebraska L 73-79 13%     0 - 4 -0.6 +1.0 -1.4
  Nov 28, 2021 239   Southern L 80-82 49%     0 - 5 -8.4 +2.6 -10.9
  Dec 04, 2021 340   @ Chicago St. L 49-59 63%     0 - 6 -20.0 -24.7 +3.7
  Dec 10, 2021 358   IUPUI W 70-44 91%     1 - 6 +4.3 +3.1 +5.6
  Dec 12, 2021 268   @ Lipscomb W 73-65 39%     2 - 6 +4.1 -9.0 +12.6
  Dec 16, 2021 350   @ Charleston Southern W 78-75 71%     3 - 6 -9.3 -1.0 -8.3
  Dec 18, 2021 324   @ South Carolina St. L 88-90 OT 56%     3 - 7 -10.2 +0.5 -10.5
  Jan 06, 2022 313   Tennessee Martin L 78-94 70%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -27.9 -0.8 -27.0
  Jan 08, 2022 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 95-84 51%     4 - 8 1 - 1 +4.1 +10.9 -7.4
  Jan 13, 2022 56   @ Murray St. L 44-67 5%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -11.4 -21.3 +8.9
  Jan 15, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 64-71 27%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -7.1 -4.3 -3.2
  Jan 17, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech W 80-64 57%     5 - 10 2 - 3 +7.5 +3.5 +4.2
  Jan 20, 2022 245   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 63-85 34%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -24.5 -15.1 -8.8
  Jan 22, 2022 296   Austin Peay W 65-61 64%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -6.2 -6.1 +0.2
  Jan 24, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. L 54-67 15%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -8.7 -6.3 -4.6
  Jan 27, 2022 308   @ SIU Edwardsville W 75-70 51%     7 - 12 4 - 5 -1.8 +0.7 -2.5
  Jan 29, 2022 355   @ Eastern Illinois L 57-62 79%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -20.0 -16.8 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2022 91   Belmont L 61-88 16%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -23.0 -10.1 -12.8
  Feb 05, 2022 313   @ Tennessee Martin W 69-61 53%     8 - 14 5 - 7 +0.5 -1.8 +2.9
  Feb 10, 2022 56   Murray St. L 62-73 10%     8 - 15 5 - 8 -3.8 +2.0 -7.5
  Feb 12, 2022 296   @ Austin Peay L 52-54 47%     8 - 16 5 - 9 -7.8 -12.9 +4.8
  Feb 17, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 81-65 67%     9 - 16 6 - 9 +4.8 +11.7 -5.5
  Feb 19, 2022 355   Eastern Illinois W 63-49 88%     10 - 16 7 - 9 -5.4 -6.2 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2022 272   @ Tennessee Tech W 92-56 40%     11 - 16 8 - 9 +31.9 +15.5 +16.0
  Feb 26, 2022 91   @ Belmont L 67-87 9%     11 - 17 8 - 10 -11.6 -5.3 -5.2
  Mar 02, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 77-62 59%     12 - 17 +6.0 -3.2 +8.2
  Mar 03, 2022 245   Southeast Missouri St. L 55-79 42%     12 - 18 -28.7 -28.6 +2.4
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%