Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#255
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#247
Pace75.0#35
Improvement-0.1#185

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#225
First Shot-1.1#215
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#233
Layup/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#47
Freethrows-0.7#241
Improvement-1.1#238

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#274
First Shot-3.4#279
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#185
Layups/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#221
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement+1.0#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 35 - 55 - 11
Quad 45 - 710 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 165   @ Pittsburgh W 78-63 24%     1 - 0 +17.3 +10.4 +7.3
  Nov 15, 2021 279   @ Presbyterian L 70-74 2OT 47%     1 - 1 -8.4 -11.5 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2021 13   @ Duke L 81-107 2%     1 - 2 -7.3 +11.9 -18.5
  Nov 28, 2021 324   @ South Carolina St. W 91-79 OT 62%     2 - 2 +3.8 +1.7 +0.1
  Dec 01, 2021 235   @ UNC Asheville L 58-65 36%     2 - 3 -8.6 -12.3 +3.2
  Dec 06, 2021 307   NC Central W 80-67 72%     3 - 3 +1.8 +1.5 +0.2
  Dec 20, 2021 324   South Carolina St. L 57-74 76%     3 - 4 -29.7 -22.4 -6.5
  Dec 21, 2021 269   Manhattan L 74-77 62%     3 - 5 -11.3 -4.7 -6.6
  Jan 05, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina L 90-94 OT 53%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -10.1 +4.4 -14.1
  Jan 08, 2022 94   @ Chattanooga L 67-85 11%     3 - 7 0 - 2 -9.9 -4.7 -4.6
  Jan 13, 2022 182   UNC Greensboro W 74-69 41%     4 - 7 1 - 2 +2.0 +2.6 -0.5
  Jan 15, 2022 180   VMI L 85-90 41%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -7.9 -2.2 -5.2
  Jan 17, 2022 199   Mercer L 64-71 45%     4 - 9 1 - 4 -11.0 -16.0 +5.4
  Jan 19, 2022 131   @ Wofford L 77-89 18%     4 - 10 1 - 5 -7.5 +3.3 -10.4
  Jan 22, 2022 194   @ East Tennessee St. W 75-73 28%     5 - 10 2 - 5 +2.7 -1.1 +3.8
  Jan 26, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 68-66 70%     6 - 10 3 - 5 -8.5 -9.7 +1.2
  Jan 29, 2022 94   Chattanooga L 62-75 20%     6 - 11 3 - 6 -9.3 -10.0 +0.7
  Feb 02, 2022 88   @ Furman L 83-102 10%     6 - 12 3 - 7 -10.5 +5.2 -14.3
  Feb 05, 2022 192   Samford W 107-93 44%     7 - 12 4 - 7 +10.4 +21.1 -11.9
  Feb 10, 2022 182   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-86 26%     7 - 13 4 - 8 -18.6 -5.0 -13.5
  Feb 12, 2022 180   @ VMI W 83-79 26%     8 - 13 5 - 8 +5.6 -3.0 +8.2
  Feb 16, 2022 131   Wofford L 58-65 30%     8 - 14 5 - 9 -6.9 -13.5 +6.3
  Feb 19, 2022 194   East Tennessee St. L 67-77 44%     8 - 15 5 - 10 -13.8 -8.5 -5.8
  Feb 21, 2022 192   @ Samford L 74-76 28%     8 - 16 5 - 11 -1.2 -4.1 +3.0
  Feb 23, 2022 199   @ Mercer W 71-67 29%     9 - 16 6 - 11 +4.4 +5.0 -0.1
  Feb 26, 2022 88   Furman L 59-94 19%     9 - 17 6 - 12 -30.9 -12.1 -20.7
  Mar 04, 2022 194   East Tennessee St. W 84-76 OT 36%     10 - 17 +6.4 +1.4 +4.6
  Mar 05, 2022 94   Chattanooga L 66-71 15%     10 - 18 +0.9 -1.6 +2.3
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%