Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#80
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Pace71.5#87
Improvement+2.3#94

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#36
First Shot+4.5#55
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#63
Layup/Dunks+3.7#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#289
Freethrows+2.6#25
Improvement+2.6#56

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#138
First Shot+2.0#111
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#268
Layups/Dunks+0.5#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#245
Freethrows+2.0#48
Improvement-0.3#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 23 - 23 - 3
Quad 37 - 310 - 6
Quad 415 - 125 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 185   @ Valparaiso W 69-61 71%     1 - 0 +9.2 -0.9 +10.4
  Nov 13, 2021 221   Detroit Mercy W 81-73 87%     2 - 0 +2.8 +3.4 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2021 186   @ Oakland L 59-80 72%     2 - 1 -19.8 -15.9 -3.2
  Nov 22, 2021 189   Charlotte W 98-86 78%     3 - 1 +10.8 +24.9 -13.8
  Nov 23, 2021 96   Tulane W 68-67 55%     4 - 1 +6.7 -5.1 +11.7
  Nov 24, 2021 163   Coastal Carolina W 79-70 75%     5 - 1 +9.1 +7.3 +1.9
  Dec 04, 2021 32   @ Michigan St. L 68-81 26%     5 - 2 +0.7 -3.1 +4.7
  Dec 07, 2021 98   Bradley W 67-65 64%     6 - 2 +5.3 +1.4 +4.1
  Dec 11, 2021 81   @ Richmond L 69-72 42%     6 - 3 +6.1 -0.3 +6.5
  Dec 21, 2021 232   Marshall W 95-63 88%     7 - 3 +26.2 +8.7 +14.1
  Dec 29, 2021 309   Western Michigan W 83-56 95%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +15.5 +6.3 +10.1
  Jan 01, 2022 135   @ Kent St. L 63-66 61%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +1.3 -4.7 +5.9
  Jan 04, 2022 299   @ Central Michigan W 82-54 88%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +22.0 +6.7 +15.5
  Jan 08, 2022 282   Northern Illinois W 94-63 93%     10 - 4 3 - 1 +21.5 +14.1 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2022 248   @ Miami (OH) W 75-72 82%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +0.5 -1.6 +2.2
  Jan 15, 2022 273   @ Bowling Green W 91-78 85%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +8.8 +9.2 -0.9
  Jan 18, 2022 254   Ball St. W 83-70 90%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +5.7 +1.6 +3.5
  Jan 21, 2022 123   @ Ohio W 87-69 57%     14 - 4 7 - 1 +23.2 +16.1 +6.9
  Jan 25, 2022 121   Buffalo W 86-75 72%     15 - 4 8 - 1 +11.9 +5.9 +5.1
  Jan 28, 2022 128   Akron W 84-76 74%     16 - 4 9 - 1 +8.3 +13.3 -4.7
  Feb 01, 2022 304   @ Eastern Michigan W 86-66 89%     17 - 4 10 - 1 +13.6 +5.2 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2022 254   @ Ball St. L 83-93 83%     17 - 5 10 - 2 -12.9 +4.4 -16.9
  Feb 08, 2022 123   Ohio W 77-62 73%     18 - 5 11 - 2 +15.7 +3.5 +12.0
  Feb 12, 2022 282   @ Northern Illinois W 100-72 87%     19 - 5 12 - 2 +22.9 +24.3 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2022 135   Kent St. L 59-72 75%     19 - 6 12 - 3 -13.1 -10.3 -3.3
  Feb 19, 2022 299   Central Michigan W 68-66 94%     20 - 6 13 - 3 -8.4 -9.6 +1.2
  Feb 22, 2022 309   @ Western Michigan W 92-50 90%     21 - 6 14 - 3 +34.9 +19.6 +17.5
  Feb 26, 2022 248   Miami (OH) W 88-73 90%     22 - 6 15 - 3 +8.1 +9.0 -0.9
  Mar 01, 2022 121   @ Buffalo W 92-76 57%     23 - 6 16 - 3 +21.3 +20.6 +0.7
  Mar 04, 2022 273   Bowling Green W 96-56 92%     24 - 6 17 - 3 +31.4 +18.6 +14.1
  Mar 10, 2022 299   Central Michigan W 72-71 92%     25 - 6 -7.2 -1.7 -5.5
  Mar 11, 2022 128   Akron L 62-70 67%     25 - 7 -5.5 -0.7 -6.1
Projected Record 25 - 7 17 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.1 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.1 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%