Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#89
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#99
Pace63.4#312
Improvement+0.9#142

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#72
First Shot+2.4#101
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#61
Layup/Dunks+1.7#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows+0.8#110
Improvement-1.9#269

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#113
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#311
Layups/Dunks+2.5#77
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#241
Freethrows+0.8#113
Improvement+2.8#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 22 - 02 - 2
Quad 39 - 411 - 6
Quad 414 - 225 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 285   @ Albany W 77-56 86%     1 - 0 +15.8 +7.6 +8.8
  Nov 13, 2021 175   Monmouth L 71-79 80%     1 - 1 -10.7 -7.7 -2.4
  Nov 16, 2021 331   Hampton W 78-54 95%     2 - 1 +10.9 -0.5 +10.8
  Nov 19, 2021 165   @ Pittsburgh L 59-63 65%     2 - 2 -1.7 -3.2 +1.0
  Nov 23, 2021 210   Penn W 76-61 85%     3 - 2 +10.4 +2.0 +9.2
  Nov 25, 2021 21   San Francisco L 61-71 26%     3 - 3 +2.8 +3.8 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2021 155   New Mexico W 73-58 71%     4 - 3 +15.6 +4.7 +12.2
  Dec 02, 2021 241   LIU Brooklyn W 72-63 88%     5 - 3 +2.3 -1.4 +4.0
  Dec 06, 2021 135   @ Kent St. W 73-58 58%     6 - 3 +19.3 +13.9 +7.4
  Dec 08, 2021 27   @ Ohio St. L 74-85 23%     6 - 4 +3.2 +10.7 -8.4
  Dec 11, 2021 319   @ Coppin St. W 89-75 90%     7 - 4 +6.2 +12.1 -6.5
  Dec 14, 2021 182   UNC Greensboro W 74-64 81%     8 - 4 +7.0 +8.7 -0.7
  Dec 22, 2021 197   @ Navy W 69-52 71%     9 - 4 +17.5 +9.1 +10.4
  Jan 03, 2022 162   @ Drexel L 61-65 65%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -1.6 -2.3 +0.1
  Jan 09, 2022 253   Northeastern W 70-67 89%     10 - 5 1 - 1 -4.3 +4.8 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2022 138   Hofstra W 78-66 73%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +11.8 +5.3 +6.9
  Jan 15, 2022 246   @ Elon W 59-54 80%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +2.5 -8.3 +11.3
  Jan 17, 2022 338   @ William & Mary W 91-69 92%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +12.5 +23.5 -9.2
  Jan 20, 2022 157   College of Charleston W 74-67 78%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +5.3 -3.6 +8.6
  Jan 22, 2022 177   UNC Wilmington L 77-81 OT 80%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -6.7 -0.5 -6.0
  Jan 24, 2022 147   @ Delaware W 69-62 61%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +10.4 -1.0 +11.7
  Jan 27, 2022 147   Delaware W 69-57 76%     16 - 6 7 - 2 +10.9 +0.8 +11.3
  Jan 29, 2022 162   Drexel W 66-62 78%     17 - 6 8 - 2 +2.0 +4.0 -1.2
  Feb 03, 2022 138   @ Hofstra W 78-68 58%     18 - 6 9 - 2 +14.2 +8.3 +6.3
  Feb 05, 2022 253   @ Northeastern L 53-58 81%     18 - 7 9 - 3 -7.9 -7.1 -2.0
  Feb 10, 2022 338   William & Mary W 75-60 96%     19 - 7 10 - 3 +1.1 +2.1 -0.2
  Feb 12, 2022 246   Elon W 86-50 89%     20 - 7 11 - 3 +29.1 +18.0 +14.6
  Feb 17, 2022 177   @ UNC Wilmington W 79-55 67%     21 - 7 12 - 3 +25.7 +10.1 +16.5
  Feb 19, 2022 157   @ College of Charleston W 80-77 64%     22 - 7 13 - 3 +5.7 +3.4 +2.1
  Feb 23, 2022 233   James Madison W 84-65 87%     23 - 7 14 - 3 +13.1 +3.4 +9.0
  Feb 26, 2022 233   @ James Madison W 95-59 77%     24 - 7 15 - 3 +34.5 +22.9 +12.8
  Mar 06, 2022 253   Northeastern W 68-61 85%     25 - 7 +1.9 -1.2 +3.6
  Mar 07, 2022 147   Delaware L 56-69 69%     25 - 8 -11.8 -12.3 -0.8
Projected Record 25 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%