Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#53
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#64
Pace71.6#84
Improvement-2.0#259

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#30
First Shot+5.0#47
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#68
Layup/Dunks+1.0#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
Freethrows+0.1#163
Improvement+0.2#178

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#94
First Shot+3.8#65
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#252
Layups/Dunks+1.0#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#122
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement-2.3#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round35.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 02 - 1
Quad 23 - 25 - 3
Quad 38 - 313 - 6
Quad 412 - 125 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 235   UNC Asheville W 102-77 92%     1 - 0 +19.0 +23.0 -4.7
  Nov 12, 2021 134   Morehead St. W 85-71 82%     2 - 0 +13.9 +12.6 +1.2
  Nov 18, 2021 93   @ South Carolina L 63-66 56%     2 - 1 +5.1 -5.4 +10.6
  Nov 21, 2021 332   Alabama A&M W 86-41 97%     3 - 1 +31.9 +7.8 +21.4
  Nov 25, 2021 155   New Mexico W 86-73 80%     4 - 1 +13.6 +5.5 +7.2
  Nov 26, 2021 21   San Francisco L 61-63 38%     4 - 2 +10.8 -2.9 +13.7
  Dec 01, 2021 194   East Tennessee St. W 70-56 89%     5 - 2 +10.2 -4.9 +15.9
  Dec 04, 2021 67   @ Saint Louis W 77-72 47%     6 - 2 +15.5 +13.1 +2.7
  Dec 14, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 79-61 97%     7 - 2 +5.8 -4.3 +8.7
  Dec 18, 2021 69   West Virginia L 59-65 64%     7 - 3 +0.0 -7.1 +6.8
  Dec 22, 2021 356   Mississippi Valley W 100-58 99%     8 - 3 +22.2 +5.1 +12.3
  Dec 30, 2021 158   UTEP W 75-62 86%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +11.2 +3.8 +7.6
  Jan 01, 2022 293   Texas San Antonio W 87-59 96%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +17.9 +12.3 +6.2
  Jan 06, 2022 72   @ North Texas W 69-63 47%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +16.4 +15.3 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2022 207   @ Rice L 80-85 82%     11 - 4 3 - 1 -5.0 -0.3 -4.5
  Jan 13, 2022 264   Florida International W 84-56 94%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +19.9 +9.8 +10.8
  Jan 15, 2022 126   Florida Atlantic W 76-65 81%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +11.5 +2.8 +8.7
  Jan 22, 2022 102   @ Louisiana Tech W 83-76 59%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +14.3 +7.8 +5.9
  Jan 27, 2022 115   @ Western Kentucky W 68-65 65%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +8.8 -4.6 +13.3
  Jan 29, 2022 232   @ Marshall L 81-84 85%     15 - 5 7 - 2 -4.4 +2.4 -6.6
  Feb 05, 2022 109   Middle Tennessee W 97-75 77%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +23.8 +20.4 +2.2
  Feb 10, 2022 335   Southern Miss W 84-63 97%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +7.4 +8.2 +0.3
  Feb 13, 2022 181   @ Old Dominion L 72-81 78%     17 - 6 9 - 3 -7.5 +2.4 -10.1
  Feb 17, 2022 207   Rice W 92-68 90%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +19.6 +15.0 +5.0
  Feb 19, 2022 72   North Texas L 57-58 64%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +5.0 +0.5 +4.3
  Feb 24, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 68-56 92%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +6.3 -4.3 +10.9
  Feb 26, 2022 158   @ UTEP W 69-66 75%     20 - 7 12 - 4 +5.6 +3.5 +2.3
  Mar 02, 2022 335   @ Southern Miss W 81-68 95%     21 - 7 13 - 4 +3.8 -0.5 +3.7
  Mar 05, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech W 87-74 74%     22 - 7 14 - 4 +15.9 +17.9 -1.8
  Mar 10, 2022 126   Florida Atlantic W 80-66 75%     23 - 7 +16.7 +4.2 +11.9
  Mar 11, 2022 109   Middle Tennessee W 102-98 3OT 71%     24 - 7 +8.0 +7.5 -0.5
  Mar 12, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech W 82-73 67%     25 - 7 +14.1 +12.1 +2.0
Projected Record 25 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.9 0.0 0.8 12.7 78.2 8.1
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.8 12.7 78.2 8.1