Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#213
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#206
Pace68.2#177
Improvement-0.4#196

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#263
First Shot-2.6#258
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#236
Layup/Dunks+2.1#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#342
Freethrows-0.9#256
Improvement-0.8#222

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#152
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#216
Layups/Dunks+1.3#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
Freethrows-0.5#232
Improvement+0.4#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 20 - 01 - 0
Quad 31 - 62 - 6
Quad 410 - 412 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 58   @ Utah St. W 72-69 10%     1 - 0 +14.4 -1.1 +15.3
  Nov 12, 2021 219   Eastern Washington W 84-76 60%     2 - 0 +2.9 -5.5 +7.3
  Nov 17, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine L 67-72 55%     2 - 1 -8.8 -8.3 -0.3
  Nov 23, 2021 303   Sacramento St. L 63-75 72%     2 - 2 -20.6 -20.1 +0.7
  Dec 01, 2021 277   Pacific W 63-57 73%     3 - 2 -2.8 -6.1 +3.9
  Dec 14, 2021 204   @ Oregon St. W 71-64 39%     4 - 2 +7.3 -7.0 +14.1
  Dec 19, 2021 277   @ Pacific W 77-67 57%     5 - 2 +5.6 +7.6 -1.5
  Dec 22, 2021 169   Portland L 60-65 50%     5 - 3 -7.5 -7.6 -0.5
  Jan 08, 2022 256   UC San Diego W 78-71 68%     6 - 3 1 - 0 -0.4 +8.9 -8.5
  Jan 15, 2022 297   @ Cal Poly L 74-82 63%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -13.9 +3.0 -17.1
  Jan 20, 2022 322   @ Cal St. Northridge W 64-47 70%     7 - 4 2 - 1 +9.1 -3.7 +15.3
  Jan 27, 2022 151   Cal St. Fullerton L 58-74 45%     7 - 5 2 - 2 -17.2 -14.6 -3.1
  Jan 29, 2022 148   Long Beach St. L 63-70 44%     7 - 6 2 - 3 -8.1 -11.3 +3.4
  Feb 01, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside W 65-60 33%     8 - 6 3 - 3 +6.9 +0.2 +7.2
  Feb 05, 2022 164   Hawaii W 68-65 48%     9 - 6 4 - 3 +0.9 +1.6 -0.5
  Feb 19, 2022 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-79 70%     10 - 6 5 - 3 -6.1 +12.8 -18.7
  Feb 24, 2022 130   UC Santa Barbara L 69-76 OT 40%     10 - 7 5 - 4 -6.8 -7.5 +0.9
  Feb 26, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge W 68-49 82%     11 - 7 6 - 4 +6.7 -3.9 +12.6
  Mar 03, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 65-68 28%     11 - 8 6 - 5 +0.4 -3.4 +3.6
  Mar 05, 2022 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-62 29%     11 - 9 6 - 6 +0.2 -12.5 +12.7
  Mar 08, 2022 297   Cal Poly W 63-53 70%     12 - 9 +1.9 -8.8 +11.1
  Mar 10, 2022 151   Cal St. Fullerton L 55-73 37%     12 - 10 -17.0 -13.7 -4.7
Projected Record 12 - 10 6 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%