Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#130
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#188
Pace64.5#278
Improvement+3.5#65

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#123
First Shot+2.6#96
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#245
Layup/Dunks+4.0#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#303
Freethrows+1.9#49
Improvement+1.6#94

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#158
First Shot+0.7#156
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#196
Layups/Dunks-3.6#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#60
Freethrows-0.9#262
Improvement+1.8#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 34 - 64 - 8
Quad 411 - 315 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 51   @ Washington St. L 65-73 19%     0 - 1 +3.8 +2.2 +1.3
  Nov 20, 2021 340   Chicago St. W 81-50 93%     1 - 1 +16.6 +1.9 +15.4
  Nov 24, 2021 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-58 96%     2 - 1 +9.2 +0.6 +8.8
  Nov 29, 2021 227   Texas Arlington L 62-70 77%     2 - 2 -13.5 -12.0 -1.4
  Dec 03, 2021 265   Pepperdine W 86-74 84%     3 - 2 +3.8 +10.4 -6.4
  Dec 11, 2021 20   @ St. Mary's L 59-80 11%     3 - 3 -5.4 -0.3 -6.3
  Dec 14, 2021 277   @ Pacific L 71-80 OT 74%     3 - 4 -13.4 -2.7 -10.6
  Dec 19, 2021 314   Florida A&M W 73-62 91%     4 - 4 -1.1 -5.9 +4.8
  Dec 22, 2021 327   Idaho St. W 56-43 91%     5 - 4 +0.2 -12.0 +14.9
  Dec 30, 2021 256   @ UC San Diego L 83-85 OT 70%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -5.0 -1.8 -3.0
  Jan 13, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 58-65 46%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -3.6 -9.0 +4.9
  Jan 15, 2022 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 73-79 47%     5 - 7 0 - 3 -2.8 -0.1 -2.7
  Jan 25, 2022 322   @ Cal St. Northridge W 72-45 83%     6 - 7 1 - 3 +19.1 +5.2 +17.7
  Jan 29, 2022 164   @ Hawaii L 62-65 50%     6 - 8 1 - 4 -0.7 -5.8 +4.9
  Feb 03, 2022 139   UC Irvine L 52-53 60%     6 - 9 1 - 5 -1.3 -10.4 +9.0
  Feb 05, 2022 256   UC San Diego W 84-48 82%     7 - 9 2 - 5 +28.6 +14.5 +17.9
  Feb 10, 2022 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-62 72%     8 - 9 3 - 5 +8.3 +5.1 +4.1
  Feb 12, 2022 297   @ Cal Poly W 69-64 78%     9 - 9 4 - 5 -0.9 +4.6 -4.8
  Feb 17, 2022 151   Cal St. Fullerton L 58-67 64%     9 - 10 4 - 6 -10.2 -5.8 -6.0
  Feb 19, 2022 148   Long Beach St. W 84-71 63%     10 - 10 5 - 6 +11.9 +8.0 +3.5
  Feb 24, 2022 213   @ UC Davis W 76-69 OT 60%     11 - 10 6 - 6 +6.7 +1.6 +4.8
  Feb 26, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside W 97-90 2OT 52%     12 - 10 7 - 6 +8.9 +7.8 -0.2
  Mar 01, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge W 70-61 91%     13 - 10 8 - 6 -3.3 +0.7 -2.8
  Mar 03, 2022 164   Hawaii W 67-60 67%     14 - 10 9 - 6 +4.9 +4.7 +1.3
  Mar 10, 2022 139   UC Irvine W 78-69 52%     15 - 10 +11.0 +13.4 -1.9
  Mar 11, 2022 148   Long Beach St. L 64-67 55%     15 - 11 -1.8 -4.6 +2.6
Projected Record 15 - 11 9 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%