Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#41
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#19
Pace66.3#228
Improvement-5.5#338

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#45
First Shot+2.1#110
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#8
Layup/Dunks+6.0#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#286
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-3.4#324

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#47
First Shot+4.3#58
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#91
Layups/Dunks+2.7#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#224
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#179
Freethrows+2.0#45
Improvement-2.1#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 10.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round95.9% n/a n/a
Second Round46.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 04 - 4
Quad 25 - 19 - 5
Quad 311 - 220 - 7
Quad 46 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 322   Cal St. Northridge W 89-49 97%     1 - 0 +27.7 +12.9 +16.1
  Nov 13, 2021 111   @ Temple W 76-71 67%     2 - 0 +11.1 +7.5 +3.6
  Nov 16, 2021 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-61 84%     3 - 0 +17.1 +5.4 +12.1
  Nov 22, 2021 280   Dixie St. W 98-71 96%     4 - 0 +17.9 +9.5 +4.9
  Nov 25, 2021 161   Saint Joseph's W 70-55 83%     5 - 0 +15.3 +1.4 +14.4
  Nov 26, 2021 26   San Diego St. W 58-43 44%     6 - 0 +27.0 +8.9 +21.3
  Dec 01, 2021 114   Utah W 93-73 81%     7 - 0 1 - 0 +21.3 +16.4 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2021 51   @ Washington St. W 63-61 45%     8 - 0 2 - 0 +13.8 +3.7 +10.3
  Dec 07, 2021 262   Eastern Kentucky W 80-68 95%     9 - 0 +4.0 -0.8 +4.3
  Dec 12, 2021 148   Long Beach St. W 73-62 86%     10 - 0 +9.9 +3.0 +7.4
  Dec 15, 2021 139   UC Irvine W 66-61 85%     11 - 0 +4.7 -2.3 +7.1
  Dec 18, 2021 142   Georgia Tech W 67-53 80%     12 - 0 +15.7 +5.0 +12.3
  Jan 06, 2022 122   @ California W 77-63 70%     13 - 0 3 - 0 +19.2 +17.1 +3.5
  Jan 11, 2022 97   @ Stanford L 69-75 61%     13 - 1 3 - 1 +1.8 -0.2 +2.1
  Jan 13, 2022 204   Oregon St. W 81-71 91%     14 - 1 4 - 1 +5.9 +2.6 +3.3
  Jan 15, 2022 70   Oregon L 69-79 67%     14 - 2 4 - 2 -4.0 +0.8 -5.2
  Jan 20, 2022 57   @ Colorado W 61-58 46%     15 - 2 5 - 2 +14.6 -4.5 +19.1
  Jan 22, 2022 114   @ Utah W 79-67 68%     16 - 2 6 - 2 +17.8 +9.5 +8.6
  Jan 24, 2022 83   Arizona St. W 78-56 72%     17 - 2 7 - 2 +26.7 +13.5 +13.8
  Jan 27, 2022 97   Stanford L 61-64 76%     17 - 3 7 - 3 +0.4 +0.8 -0.9
  Jan 29, 2022 122   California W 79-72 82%     18 - 3 8 - 3 +7.8 +15.9 -7.5
  Feb 03, 2022 83   @ Arizona St. W 58-53 56%     19 - 3 9 - 3 +14.1 -3.6 +18.0
  Feb 05, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 63-72 14%     19 - 4 9 - 4 +13.1 +4.5 +7.7
  Feb 08, 2022 277   Pacific W 74-68 95%     20 - 4 -2.8 -2.8 -0.1
  Feb 12, 2022 8   UCLA W 67-64 33%     21 - 4 10 - 4 +18.2 +5.1 +13.2
  Feb 17, 2022 101   Washington W 79-69 77%     22 - 4 11 - 4 +12.9 +7.3 +5.5
  Feb 20, 2022 51   Washington St. W 62-60 62%     23 - 4 12 - 4 +9.4 -0.8 +10.4
  Feb 24, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. W 94-91 2OT 83%     24 - 4 13 - 4 +3.3 -0.3 +3.0
  Feb 26, 2022 70   @ Oregon W 70-69 51%     25 - 4 14 - 4 +11.4 +7.5 +4.0
  Mar 01, 2022 2   Arizona L 71-91 25%     25 - 5 14 - 5 -2.3 +6.4 -9.2
  Mar 05, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 68-75 20%     25 - 6 14 - 6 +12.6 +8.4 +3.7
  Mar 10, 2022 101   Washington W 65-61 70%     26 - 6 +9.2 -4.3 +13.5
  Mar 11, 2022 8   UCLA L 59-69 26%     26 - 7 +7.4 +3.1 +2.7
Projected Record 26 - 7 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 96.0% 96.0% 7.8 0.0 1.9 9.0 26.0 30.9 21.4 6.0 0.6 0.0 4.0 96.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 96.0% 0.0% 96.0% 7.8 0.0 1.9 9.0 26.0 30.9 21.4 6.0 0.6 0.0 4.0 96.0%