Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#58
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#103
Pace67.2#205
Improvement-0.9#212

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#64
First Shot+6.7#21
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#324
Layup/Dunks+5.5#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#84
Freethrows+0.8#112
Improvement-3.4#325

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#53
First Shot+2.9#84
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#36
Layups/Dunks+3.5#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#253
Freethrows+0.9#107
Improvement+2.5#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 72 - 11
Quad 23 - 15 - 12
Quad 34 - 19 - 13
Quad 48 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 213   UC Davis L 69-72 90%     0 - 1 -7.8 -10.1 +2.6
  Nov 12, 2021 81   Richmond W 85-74 59%     1 - 1 +17.9 +21.2 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2021 210   Penn W 87-79 2OT 86%     2 - 1 +5.6 -2.0 +6.6
  Nov 19, 2021 85   New Mexico St. W 85-58 59%     3 - 1 +33.8 +24.5 +12.1
  Nov 21, 2021 29   Oklahoma W 73-70 40%     4 - 1 +14.8 +7.0 +7.8
  Nov 27, 2021 227   Texas Arlington W 80-61 91%     5 - 1 +13.5 +7.2 +6.5
  Dec 02, 2021 20   St. Mary's L 58-60 42%     5 - 2 +9.2 -2.4 +11.4
  Dec 08, 2021 61   @ BYU L 71-82 43%     5 - 3 +0.1 +1.5 -1.2
  Dec 11, 2021 274   New Orleans W 82-50 94%     6 - 3 +23.3 +3.9 +18.6
  Dec 15, 2021 170   @ Weber St. W 95-80 76%     7 - 3 +16.9 +17.4 -1.3
  Dec 18, 2021 10   Iowa L 75-94 22%     7 - 4 -1.7 +2.3 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2021 244   Portland St. W 81-62 92%     8 - 4 +12.1 +6.9 +5.3
  Dec 29, 2021 249   @ Air Force L 47-49 86%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -4.7 -17.6 +12.7
  Jan 08, 2022 155   @ New Mexico W 90-87 OT 73%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +5.9 +4.9 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2022 44   @ Colorado St. L 72-77 37%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +7.7 +6.6 +0.9
  Jan 15, 2022 74   Wyoming L 69-71 63%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +3.8 +2.4 +1.3
  Jan 18, 2022 84   @ Fresno St. L 54-61 51%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +2.0 -6.0 +7.3
  Jan 20, 2022 37   Boise St. L 59-62 52%     9 - 9 1 - 5 +5.7 -2.1 +7.5
  Jan 26, 2022 26   San Diego St. W 75-57 48%     10 - 9 2 - 5 +27.8 +15.8 +12.8
  Jan 29, 2022 110   @ Nevada W 78-49 62%     11 - 9 3 - 5 +35.1 +6.7 +28.2
  Feb 01, 2022 249   Air Force W 73-46 93%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +19.9 +4.1 +17.8
  Feb 03, 2022 275   San Jose St. W 78-62 94%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +7.3 +7.3 +1.5
  Feb 05, 2022 86   UNLV W 90-75 68%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +19.3 +31.0 -9.8
  Feb 08, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 76-78 OT 46%     14 - 10 6 - 6 +8.3 +5.7 +2.6
  Feb 11, 2022 110   Nevada L 72-85 76%     14 - 11 6 - 7 -11.3 -4.5 -6.1
  Feb 15, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. L 56-75 31%     14 - 12 6 - 8 -4.7 +4.2 -11.7
  Feb 19, 2022 37   @ Boise St. L 57-68 35%     14 - 13 6 - 9 +2.1 -2.9 +4.1
  Feb 22, 2022 155   New Mexico W 81-56 84%     15 - 13 7 - 9 +23.4 +3.5 +19.4
  Feb 26, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 55-66 54%     15 - 14 7 - 10 -2.7 -9.8 +5.9
  Mar 04, 2022 275   @ San Jose St. W 75-52 89%     16 - 14 8 - 10 +18.7 +6.0 +14.8
  Mar 09, 2022 249   Air Force W 83-56 90%     17 - 14 +22.1 +14.1 +9.5
  Mar 10, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 51-53 45%     17 - 15 +8.5 -9.2 +17.3
Projected Record 17 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%