Pre-tourney Rankings
Vermont
America East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#68
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#84
Pace64.2#289
Improvement+5.0#34

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#62
First Shot+6.3#27
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#309
Layup/Dunks+4.3#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#39
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement+4.7#14

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#80
First Shot+1.5#126
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#31
Layups/Dunks-0.6#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
Freethrows+2.8#19
Improvement+0.4#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round26.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 37 - 28 - 4
Quad 419 - 127 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 95   @ Northern Iowa W 71-57 51%     1 - 0 +21.9 -1.0 +22.8
  Nov 13, 2021 64   @ Maryland L 57-68 40%     1 - 1 -0.2 -6.7 +5.6
  Nov 19, 2021 143   Yale W 61-53 80%     2 - 1 +7.3 -5.5 +13.4
  Nov 22, 2021 186   Oakland L 61-63 81%     2 - 2 -3.0 -11.4 +8.3
  Nov 23, 2021 302   Evansville W 58-49 93%     3 - 2 +0.5 -12.9 +14.1
  Nov 24, 2021 159   Appalachian St. W 65-63 78%     4 - 2 +2.4 +5.3 -2.5
  Nov 27, 2021 182   @ UNC Greensboro L 51-54 75%     4 - 3 -1.6 -7.9 +5.6
  Dec 01, 2021 206   Dartmouth W 83-65 88%     5 - 3 +13.6 +16.8 -1.7
  Dec 07, 2021 38   @ Providence L 58-68 32%     5 - 4 +3.1 -4.7 +6.9
  Dec 10, 2021 215   @ Brown W 70-65 79%     6 - 4 +4.6 -0.7 +5.4
  Dec 22, 2021 125   Colgate W 78-68 77%     7 - 4 +10.5 +3.3 +7.2
  Jan 06, 2022 247   New Hampshire W 82-68 91%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +7.1 +14.7 -5.8
  Jan 12, 2022 243   Stony Brook W 98-65 91%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +26.2 +27.5 +1.9
  Jan 15, 2022 238   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-69 83%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +15.3 +8.9 +6.3
  Jan 19, 2022 341   @ NJIT W 83-57 95%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +15.9 +9.3 +7.0
  Jan 22, 2022 281   Hartford W 82-72 94%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +0.8 +13.0 -10.9
  Jan 26, 2022 243   @ Stony Brook W 80-67 84%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +10.7 +5.8 +5.4
  Jan 29, 2022 352   Maine W 81-68 98%     14 - 4 7 - 0 -4.1 +5.1 -8.3
  Jan 31, 2022 285   Albany W 73-61 94%     15 - 4 8 - 0 +2.3 +11.9 -7.5
  Feb 02, 2022 341   NJIT W 90-67 97%     16 - 4 9 - 0 +8.5 +16.5 -7.1
  Feb 05, 2022 257   @ Umass Lowell W 78-67 85%     17 - 4 10 - 0 +8.0 +9.7 -1.2
  Feb 09, 2022 288   Binghamton W 82-51 94%     18 - 4 11 - 0 +21.3 +11.2 +12.1
  Feb 12, 2022 285   @ Albany W 76-63 89%     19 - 4 12 - 0 +7.8 +9.2 -0.7
  Feb 14, 2022 281   @ Hartford L 74-75 OT 88%     19 - 5 12 - 1 -5.8 -0.5 -5.3
  Feb 16, 2022 247   @ New Hampshire W 71-50 84%     20 - 5 13 - 1 +18.5 +10.1 +12.8
  Feb 19, 2022 238   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-59 90%     21 - 5 14 - 1 +20.8 +10.9 +11.1
  Feb 23, 2022 288   @ Binghamton W 66-49 89%     22 - 5 15 - 1 +11.7 -3.4 +16.3
  Feb 26, 2022 257   Umass Lowell W 62-61 92%     23 - 5 16 - 1 -6.5 -15.6 +9.1
  Mar 01, 2022 352   @ Maine W 75-56 96%     24 - 5 17 - 1 +6.3 -1.9 +8.8
  Mar 06, 2022 341   NJIT W 98-59 97%     25 - 5 +24.5 +26.5 +0.2
  Mar 09, 2022 288   Binghamton W 74-42 94%     26 - 5 +22.3 +11.9 +16.5
  Mar 12, 2022 238   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 82-43 90%     27 - 5 +32.8 +10.6 +25.6
Projected Record 27 - 5 17 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.9 0.1 5.8 93.5 0.6
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.1 5.8 93.5 0.6