Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#66
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#56
Pace71.0#98
Improvement+1.2#131

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#214
First Shot+0.2#175
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#300
Layup/Dunks+5.8#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#306
Freethrows+0.2#147
Improvement+5.5#5

Defense
Total Defense+9.9#6
First Shot+11.4#2
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#302
Layups/Dunks+2.3#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#2
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#3
Freethrows-1.7#297
Improvement-4.4#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.7% n/a n/a
First Round23.7% n/a n/a
Second Round8.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 13 - 3
Quad 23 - 56 - 8
Quad 311 - 117 - 9
Quad 44 - 021 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 129   St. Peter's W 57-54 78%     1 - 0 +3.2 -12.8 +16.0
  Nov 13, 2021 172   Wagner L 44-58 85%     1 - 1 -16.5 -22.5 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2021 60   @ Vanderbilt W 48-37 40%     2 - 1 +22.2 -14.8 +37.6
  Nov 20, 2021 94   Chattanooga L 54-56 68%     2 - 2 +1.7 -8.0 +9.4
  Nov 24, 2021 65   Syracuse W 67-55 50%     3 - 2 +20.5 -6.8 +27.2
  Nov 25, 2021 6   Baylor L 61-69 19%     3 - 3 +9.8 -4.1 +13.9
  Nov 26, 2021 17   Connecticut L 63-70 OT 29%     3 - 4 +7.1 -8.1 +15.7
  Dec 04, 2021 234   Campbell W 65-61 91%     4 - 4 -2.0 -8.2 +6.4
  Dec 08, 2021 153   Jacksonville St. W 66-52 82%     5 - 4 +12.6 -5.5 +18.7
  Dec 11, 2021 181   @ Old Dominion W 75-66 75%     6 - 4 +10.5 +4.1 +6.4
  Dec 15, 2021 126   Florida Atlantic W 66-46 78%     7 - 4 +20.5 -10.3 +29.9
  Jan 05, 2022 63   @ Dayton W 53-52 40%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +12.0 -4.7 +16.8
  Jan 08, 2022 214   @ La Salle W 85-66 80%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +18.6 +11.9 +6.5
  Jan 11, 2022 212   George Washington W 84-57 89%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +22.3 +7.0 +14.5
  Jan 14, 2022 82   @ St. Bonaventure L 53-73 47%     10 - 5 3 - 1 -10.9 -11.7 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2022 52   Davidson L 61-63 54%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +5.4 -4.2 +9.4
  Jan 22, 2022 161   Saint Joseph's W 70-54 83%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +14.1 -2.9 +16.7
  Jan 26, 2022 52   @ Davidson W 70-68 37%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +13.8 +3.2 +10.8
  Jan 29, 2022 81   @ Richmond W 64-62 47%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +11.1 -2.5 +13.7
  Feb 02, 2022 63   Dayton L 52-82 57%     13 - 7 6 - 3 -23.5 -11.2 -15.6
  Feb 05, 2022 267   Duquesne W 71-62 93%     14 - 7 7 - 3 +0.8 -11.1 +11.3
  Feb 08, 2022 137   Rhode Island W 73-64 79%     15 - 7 8 - 3 +8.8 -1.2 +9.4
  Feb 12, 2022 118   @ George Mason W 85-70 62%     16 - 7 9 - 3 +20.4 +14.3 +6.0
  Feb 15, 2022 176   @ Fordham W 66-61 74%     17 - 7 10 - 3 +6.7 -1.1 +7.7
  Feb 18, 2022 81   Richmond W 77-57 64%     18 - 7 11 - 3 +24.7 +13.2 +13.3
  Feb 23, 2022 118   George Mason W 72-66 76%     19 - 7 12 - 3 +7.0 +0.2 +6.9
  Feb 26, 2022 171   @ Massachusetts W 77-62 74%     20 - 7 13 - 3 +16.9 -7.2 +23.0
  Mar 01, 2022 82   St. Bonaventure W 74-51 64%     21 - 7 14 - 3 +27.7 +0.2 +26.4
  Mar 05, 2022 67   @ Saint Louis L 65-69 42%     21 - 8 14 - 4 +6.5 -1.8 +8.2
  Mar 11, 2022 81   Richmond L 64-75 56%     21 - 9 -4.1 -2.2 -2.5
Projected Record 21 - 9 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 34.7% 34.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1 20.5 8.3 0.0 65.3 34.7%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 34.7% 0.0% 34.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1 20.5 8.3 0.0 65.3 34.7%