Preseason Rankings
Big South
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
143 Winthrop 32.3%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 9 12 - 4 +1.8      +1.0 144 +0.8 151 80.5 11 0.0 1 0.0 1
200 Campbell 16.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 10 10 - 6 -1.9      -0.9 203 -1.0 207 61.5 339 0.0 1 0.0 1
225 Gardner-Webb 12.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 6 -3.4      -1.4 225 -2.1 240 66.3 256 0.0 1 0.0 1
249 Longwood 8.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 7 -4.9      -4.1 296 -0.8 198 63.2 318 0.0 1 0.0 1
252 UNC Asheville 8.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 14 9 - 7 -5.1      -1.1 211 -4.0 296 70.3 140 0.0 1 0.0 1
264 Radford 7.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 8 - 8 -5.6      -3.3 272 -2.3 246 60.7 345 0.0 1 0.0 1
286 N.C. A&T 5.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 16 8 - 8 -6.8      -4.2 301 -2.5 252 76.2 45 0.0 1 0.0 1
299 High Point 4.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 16 7 - 9 -7.5      -4.0 295 -3.5 282 65.5 273 0.0 1 0.0 1
319 Presbyterian 2.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -9.0      -5.2 324 -3.8 292 63.7 311 0.0 1 0.0 1
329 Hampton 1.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 10 -10.6      -4.3 304 -6.2 337 74.0 75 0.0 1 0.0 1
335 Charleston Southern 1.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 18 6 - 10 -11.4      -6.0 337 -5.4 320 71.7 110 0.0 1 0.0 1
343 South Carolina Upstate 0.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 19 5 - 11 -13.1      -6.8 343 -6.2 336 70.2 146 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Winthrop 2.5 44.9 19.7 11.8 7.9 5.3 3.9 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2
Campbell 3.9 20.6 18.8 14.1 11.3 9.3 7.4 5.7 4.5 3.4 2.5 1.6 0.7
Gardner-Webb 4.6 14.5 14.3 14.2 12.3 10.7 8.7 7.4 6.1 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.3
Longwood 5.4 10.2 11.4 11.6 10.8 10.3 9.7 8.9 7.8 7.0 5.7 4.1 2.5
UNC Asheville 5.4 9.4 10.8 11.9 11.7 11.4 10.3 9.1 7.7 6.5 5.1 3.7 2.4
Radford 5.7 7.9 10.6 10.9 10.8 10.9 10.1 9.3 8.7 7.3 6.1 4.6 2.8
N.C. A&T 6.3 5.3 7.8 9.2 10.0 10.3 10.2 10.3 9.7 9.1 7.9 6.4 3.8
High Point 6.6 5.3 6.9 8.1 8.7 9.4 9.8 9.6 9.7 9.6 8.8 7.9 6.1
Presbyterian 7.3 3.1 4.6 6.1 7.1 8.5 9.4 10.3 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.1 8.1
Hampton 8.2 1.7 2.9 4.1 5.3 6.5 7.8 9.2 10.4 12.0 13.1 14.4 12.6
Charleston Southern 8.4 1.2 2.4 3.4 4.6 6.1 7.3 8.9 10.7 12.2 13.8 14.7 14.8
South Carolina Upstate 9.2 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.1 4.3 5.7 7.3 9.1 11.3 14.2 17.8 23.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Winthrop 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.6 4.2 6.2 8.7 11.0 13.6 15.1 15.3 13.2 7.0
Campbell 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.1 4.6 6.3 8.6 10.6 11.7 12.8 12.5 11.1 8.4 5.1 1.8
Gardner-Webb 10 - 6 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.8 4.5 6.3 8.4 10.1 11.8 12.3 12.4 10.9 8.3 5.5 3.0 0.9
Longwood 9 - 7 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.7 6.8 8.4 10.2 11.0 11.3 11.2 9.9 8.4 6.1 4.0 1.9 0.7
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.3 6.2 8.4 10.5 11.6 12.4 11.8 10.4 8.2 5.9 3.6 1.5 0.4
Radford 8 - 8 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.0 7.4 9.1 10.9 11.6 11.9 10.9 9.6 7.7 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.4
N.C. A&T 8 - 8 0.3 1.1 2.6 4.6 6.7 9.2 10.7 11.5 11.8 11.4 10.0 7.9 5.7 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
High Point 7 - 9 0.6 2.0 3.9 5.7 7.9 9.6 10.8 11.2 11.2 10.2 8.6 7.0 5.1 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.8 2.6 5.1 7.5 10.0 11.1 12.2 11.8 11.0 8.9 7.2 5.2 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
Hampton 6 - 10 1.7 4.7 7.8 10.4 11.9 12.5 12.2 10.7 9.1 6.8 4.9 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 2.0 5.2 8.4 11.2 12.9 13.0 12.1 10.7 8.4 6.4 4.2 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 3.9 8.6 11.8 13.8 13.4 12.5 10.8 8.5 6.3 4.3 2.9 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Winthrop 44.9% 32.9 9.7 2.0 0.3 0.0
Campbell 20.6% 12.9 5.9 1.4 0.3 0.0
Gardner-Webb 14.5% 8.7 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
Longwood 10.2% 5.9 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
UNC Asheville 9.4% 5.4 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
Radford 7.9% 4.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
N.C. A&T 5.3% 2.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
High Point 5.3% 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 3.1% 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Hampton 1.7% 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 1.2% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Winthrop 32.3% 32.1% 0.2% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.7 6.0 7.6 7.7 6.4 67.7 0.4%
Campbell 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.5 4.8 5.3 83.6 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 12.0% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.9 88.0 0.0%
Longwood 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.0 91.8 0.0%
UNC Asheville 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.8 92.0 0.0%
Radford 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.4 92.7 0.0%
N.C. A&T 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.2 94.9 0.0%
High Point 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 95.7 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 97.2 0.0%
Hampton 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 98.2 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 98.6 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Winthrop 32.3% 3.1% 30.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 16.4% 2.7% 15.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 12.0% 2.7% 10.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 8.2% 2.3% 7.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 8.0% 2.2% 6.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 7.3% 2.2% 6.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 5.1% 2.1% 4.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 4.3% 1.5% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 1.3% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 1.8% 0.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 1.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3 0.0
1st Round 89.1% 0.9 10.9 88.9 0.2
2nd Round 7.7% 0.1 92.3 7.7 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0