Preseason Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
146 Iona 25.6%   15   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 11 14 - 6 +1.5      +0.2 169 +1.3 135 68.3 203 0.0 1 0.0 1
191 St. Peter's 14.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 13 12 - 8 -1.2      -4.6 310 +3.3 85 67.1 235 0.0 1 0.0 1
216 Monmouth 10.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 16 11 - 9 -2.8      -1.7 234 -1.2 214 82.4 5 0.0 1 0.0 1
227 Siena 8.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 15 10 - 10 -3.6      -2.3 251 -1.3 222 64.3 301 0.0 1 0.0 1
246 Marist 6.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 15 9 - 11 -4.8      -5.6 328 +0.9 143 65.3 277 0.0 1 0.0 1
248 Rider 6.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 16 9 - 11 -4.9      -1.5 232 -3.3 278 68.1 209 0.0 1 0.0 1
250 Niagara 6.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 16 9 - 11 -4.9      -2.2 248 -2.7 259 62.6 325 0.0 1 0.0 1
260 Fairfield 5.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 11 -5.4      -5.5 326 +0.2 170 62.4 329 0.0 1 0.0 1
261 Quinnipiac 5.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 15 9 - 11 -5.4      -3.9 290 -1.5 226 76.7 35 0.0 1 0.0 1
265 Canisius 5.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 18 9 - 11 -5.6      -2.7 254 -2.9 264 74.1 73 0.0 1 0.0 1
278 Manhattan 4.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 12 -6.3      -6.0 335 -0.3 181 66.4 254 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Iona 3.2 34.0 18.3 12.7 9.2 7.3 5.5 4.3 3.4 2.5 1.7 1.1
St. Peter's 4.4 18.9 15.2 12.9 11.0 9.5 8.2 7.0 5.9 4.8 3.9 2.6
Monmouth 5.1 12.7 12.6 11.8 10.6 9.9 9.1 8.4 7.6 6.9 5.8 4.6
Siena 5.5 10.2 10.6 10.9 10.1 10.1 9.5 9.2 8.7 7.8 7.1 5.9
Marist 6.1 7.4 8.4 9.2 9.1 9.7 9.6 10.0 9.5 9.5 9.3 8.3
Rider 6.1 7.1 8.2 8.7 9.5 10.0 9.6 9.9 9.6 9.7 9.2 8.4
Niagara 6.2 7.0 8.2 8.9 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.9 9.9 9.6 9.4 8.7
Fairfield 6.4 6.3 7.4 8.5 8.9 9.2 9.4 10.2 10.2 10.0 10.2 9.7
Quinnipiac 6.4 6.0 7.7 8.4 8.7 9.1 9.6 10.1 10.1 10.4 10.1 10.0
Canisius 6.5 5.7 7.2 8.1 8.8 9.1 9.4 10.0 10.2 10.8 10.6 10.2
Manhattan 6.8 4.8 6.1 7.2 8.0 8.4 9.2 10.0 10.6 11.2 11.9 12.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Iona 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.6 6.0 7.2 8.5 9.5 10.2 10.5 10.5 9.0 7.2 4.7 2.0
St. Peter's 12 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.5 4.8 6.0 7.4 8.2 9.4 9.7 9.2 9.1 8.3 7.0 5.2 3.7 1.9 0.7
Monmouth 11 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.7 4.1 5.2 6.4 7.4 8.3 9.1 9.3 9.2 8.6 7.9 6.4 5.1 3.5 2.2 1.1 0.3
Siena 10 - 10 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.7 6.1 7.3 8.3 8.8 9.2 9.3 8.8 8.0 6.8 5.7 3.9 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.2
Marist 9 - 11 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.3 4.7 6.0 7.5 8.2 8.9 9.5 9.2 8.7 7.8 6.7 5.6 4.2 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
Rider 9 - 11 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.3 4.6 6.2 7.3 8.5 9.0 9.4 9.5 8.8 7.9 6.6 5.4 4.1 2.9 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
Niagara 9 - 11 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.8 6.2 7.4 8.4 9.2 9.4 9.1 8.6 7.8 6.5 5.2 4.2 3.0 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
Fairfield 9 - 11 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.2 6.5 7.8 8.9 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.2 7.5 6.2 4.9 3.9 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1
Quinnipiac 9 - 11 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.7 5.3 6.9 8.0 8.9 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.1 7.3 6.0 5.0 3.7 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
Canisius 9 - 11 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.0 5.6 7.1 8.2 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.0 8.1 7.2 6.2 4.5 3.5 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
Manhattan 8 - 12 0.6 1.6 3.1 4.9 6.4 7.7 8.7 9.4 9.7 8.9 8.5 7.7 6.6 5.3 4.1 2.9 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona 34.0% 25.8 6.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Peter's 18.9% 13.3 4.5 0.9 0.1 0.0
Monmouth 12.7% 8.5 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Siena 10.2% 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Marist 7.4% 4.7 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Rider 7.1% 4.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Niagara 7.0% 4.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Fairfield 6.3% 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Quinnipiac 6.0% 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Canisius 5.7% 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Manhattan 4.8% 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 25.6% 25.1% 0.6% 15   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 3.2 6.1 6.0 5.1 2.7 74.4 0.8%
St. Peter's 14.9% 14.8% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 3.6 4.0 3.0 85.1 0.2%
Monmouth 10.8% 10.6% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.3 3.0 2.9 89.2 0.1%
Siena 8.6% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.5 91.4 0.1%
Marist 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.4 93.3 0.0%
Rider 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.7 93.4 0.0%
Niagara 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.4 93.8 0.0%
Fairfield 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.3 94.2 0.0%
Quinnipiac 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.4 94.3 0.0%
Canisius 5.4% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.1 94.6 0.0%
Manhattan 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 95.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 25.6% 1.5% 24.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 14.9% 1.4% 14.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 10.8% 1.5% 10.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 8.6% 1.3% 8.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 6.7% 1.3% 6.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 6.6% 1.5% 5.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 6.2% 1.2% 5.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 5.8% 1.3% 5.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 5.7% 1.4% 5.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 5.4% 1.1% 4.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 4.6% 1.2% 4.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.0 1.0 0.0
1st Round 93.3% 0.9 6.7 92.6 0.6
2nd Round 9.1% 0.1 90.9 9.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0