IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.1	#41
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.6	#250
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.4	#42

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.7	#42

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
#1 Seed	3.0%	3.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	6.6%	6.7%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	15.6%	15.8%	0.7%
Top 6 Seed	25.6%	25.8%	2.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	50.9%	51.4%	11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	45.2%	45.6%	9.3%
Average Seed	6.5	6.5	9.1

.500 or above	71.2%	71.7%	24.3%
.500 or above in Conference	64.9%	65.3%	27.0%
Conference Champion	12.4%	12.5%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	5.2%	20.1%

First Four	3.7%	3.7%	2.7%
First Round	49.1%	49.5%	9.6%
Second Round	31.4%	31.7%	5.6%
Sweet Sixteen	15.2%	15.3%	1.6%
Elite Eight	7.1%	7.2%	0.8%
Final Four	3.2%	3.3%	0.2%
Championship Game	1.4%	1.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 5	2 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 3	4 - 8
Quad 2	5 - 3	9 - 11
Quad 3	5 - 1	14 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2021	323	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	88-64	99%
Nov 14, 2021	126	Yale	W	77-66	85%
Nov 16, 2021	2	@ Michigan	L	64-74	19%
Nov 22, 2021	12	Ohio St.	L	68-72	37%
Nov 28, 2021	350	Bethune-Cookman	W	85-54	99%
Dec 01, 2021	228	Wagner	W	78-60	93%
Dec 09, 2021	7	Texas	L	70-72	44%
Dec 12, 2021	50	Rutgers	W	70-66	63%
Dec 18, 2021	146	Iona	W	74-64	78%
Dec 20, 2021	52	St. John's	W	79-74	65%
Dec 23, 2021	112	@ DePaul	W	73-69	62%
Dec 29, 2021	65	@ Providence	L	68-69	49%
Jan 01, 2022	6	Villanova	L	67-69	43%
Jan 04, 2022	64	@ Butler	L	65-66	49%
Jan 08, 2022	25	Connecticut	W	68-67	54%
Jan 15, 2022	78	@ Marquette	W	70-69	53%
Jan 18, 2022	65	Providence	W	71-65	67%
Jan 22, 2022	52	@ St. John's	L	76-77	46%
Jan 26, 2022	78	Marquette	W	73-66	71%
Feb 01, 2022	86	@ Georgetown	W	73-71	55%
Feb 04, 2022	48	Creighton	W	73-69	63%
Feb 09, 2022	37	Xavier	W	73-70	58%
Feb 12, 2022	6	@ Villanova	L	64-72	26%
Feb 16, 2022	25	@ Connecticut	L	65-70	35%
Feb 19, 2022	112	DePaul	W	76-66	79%
Feb 23, 2022	64	Butler	W	69-63	67%
Feb 26, 2022	37	@ Xavier	L	70-73	40%
Mar 02, 2022	86	Georgetown	W	76-68	73%
Mar 05, 2022	48	@ Creighton	L	70-72	44%
Projected Record						17 - 12	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	3.0	3.1	2.2	1.0	0.3		12.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.5	1.8	3.6	3.6	2.2	0.8	0.1				12.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.7	2.6	4.3	3.1	1.1	0.2	0.0					12.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.8	3.2	4.3	2.5	0.7	0.1							11.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.9	3.4	3.9	1.8	0.3	0.0								10.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.0	3.2	3.8	1.4	0.2	0.0									9.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.0	3.0	3.1	1.1	0.1											8.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.1	2.7	2.5	0.9	0.1												7.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0												6.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.6	1.2	0.3	0.0														5.0	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0															3.4	11th

Total	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.3	2.4	3.6	5.0	6.1	7.3	8.2	9.2	9.4	9.4	9.1	8.2	6.6	5.3	3.8	2.4	1.0	0.3			Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
18-2	94.4%	2.2		2.0	0.3	0.0
17-3	79.8%	3.1		2.3	0.7	0.0
16-4	55.6%	3.0		1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0
15-5	26.7%	1.8		0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0
14-6	9.8%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1
13-7	1.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	12.4%	12.4		8.2	3.3	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	1.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
19-1	1.0%		100.0%	56.7%	43.3%	1.6		0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
18-2	2.4%		100.0%	45.4%	54.6%	2.1		0.9	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
17-3	3.8%		100.0%	34.7%	65.3%	2.7		0.8	1.1	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
16-4	5.3%		99.7%	27.9%	71.9%	3.9		0.3	0.8	1.3	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.6%
15-5	6.6%		99.1%	22.7%	76.4%	5.1		0.1	0.4	1.0	1.3	1.3	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		98.8%
14-6	8.2%		96.2%	16.0%	80.2%	6.4		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.3	1.4	1.3	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1					0.3		95.5%
13-7	9.1%		88.1%	11.8%	76.3%	7.7			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.4	1.4	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.1		86.5%
12-8	9.4%		74.1%	8.0%	66.1%	8.7			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.2	1.1	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0			2.4		71.8%
11-9	9.4%		52.5%	5.5%	47.0%	9.7					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.8	1.0	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0			4.5		49.7%
10-10	9.2%		28.4%	3.5%	24.9%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.6		25.8%
9-11	8.2%		9.4%	1.7%	7.7%	11.1						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		7.4		7.9%
8-12	7.3%		2.4%	0.9%	1.6%	12.0								0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.1		1.6%
7-13	6.1%		0.8%	0.7%	0.1%	13.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.0		0.1%
6-14	5.0%		0.6%	0.6%		15.1													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	5.0
5-15	3.6%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		3.6
4-16	2.4%																							2.4
3-17	1.3%																							1.3
2-18	0.7%																							0.7
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		50.9%	10.4%	40.5%	6.5		3.0	3.6	4.4	4.6	4.9	5.1	5.1	5.0	4.5	4.1	3.8	2.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	49.1		45.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	1.1	86.8	13.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	1.2	90.7		9.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0