Preseason Rankings
Bryant
Northeast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#206
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace83.3#3
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#152
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#263
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.7% 37.5% 22.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.3 15.2
.500 or above 66.4% 89.0% 61.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 93.6% 79.2%
Conference Champion 27.7% 45.5% 24.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.5% 2.6%
First Four6.2% 4.0% 6.6%
First Round21.7% 35.7% 18.8%
Second Round1.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 414 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 101   @ Rhode Island L 77-87 17%    
  Nov 15, 2021 55   @ Clemson L 67-81 10%    
  Nov 20, 2021 350   Bethune-Cookman W 87-73 89%    
  Nov 26, 2021 237   @ Brown L 77-78 46%    
  Nov 28, 2021 270   Dartmouth W 82-75 72%    
  Dec 03, 2021 13   @ Houston L 65-85 5%    
  Dec 05, 2021 90   @ Cincinnati L 77-88 18%    
  Dec 08, 2021 241   New Hampshire W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 11, 2021 188   @ Stony Brook L 75-79 37%    
  Dec 19, 2021 290   @ Cornell W 82-80 56%    
  Dec 22, 2021 180   Eastern Kentucky W 91-90 55%    
  Dec 29, 2021 346   @ Central Connecticut St. W 89-80 77%    
  Dec 31, 2021 288   Sacred Heart W 84-76 74%    
  Jan 06, 2022 228   @ Wagner L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 08, 2022 323   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 90-85 64%    
  Jan 15, 2022 242   Mount St. Mary's W 74-68 67%    
  Jan 17, 2022 283   St. Francis (PA) W 86-78 72%    
  Jan 21, 2022 234   @ Merrimack L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 23, 2022 320   St. Francis Brooklyn W 93-83 79%    
  Jan 27, 2022 234   Merrimack W 77-72 64%    
  Jan 29, 2022 254   LIU Brooklyn W 90-84 69%    
  Feb 03, 2022 283   @ St. Francis (PA) W 83-81 55%    
  Feb 05, 2022 242   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 10, 2022 288   @ Sacred Heart W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 254   @ LIU Brooklyn W 87-86 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 346   Central Connecticut St. W 92-77 88%    
  Feb 19, 2022 323   Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-82 80%    
  Feb 24, 2022 320   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 90-86 63%    
  Feb 26, 2022 228   Wagner W 81-76 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.5 5.4 7.0 6.5 4.0 1.6 27.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.0 6.1 4.7 2.1 0.4 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 4.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.1 3.9 1.4 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.0 0.9 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.0 0.2 3.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.5 6.0 7.8 9.2 10.3 10.9 11.3 10.6 9.1 6.9 4.0 1.6 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 100.0% 4.0    3.9 0.1
16-2 94.7% 6.5    5.8 0.8 0.0
15-3 77.4% 7.0    5.0 1.9 0.1
14-4 51.1% 5.4    2.7 2.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 22.0% 2.5    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 27.7% 27.7 19.8 6.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 72.3% 71.6% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.5%
17-1 4.0% 63.4% 63.1% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.5 0.9%
16-2 6.9% 54.5% 54.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.5 3.1 0.1%
15-3 9.1% 47.0% 47.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.2 4.8
14-4 10.6% 37.2% 37.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 1.8 6.6
13-5 11.3% 30.7% 30.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 7.9
12-6 10.9% 24.0% 24.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 8.3
11-7 10.3% 16.8% 16.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 8.5
10-8 9.2% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9 8.3
9-9 7.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.5
8-10 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.0
7-11 4.5% 4.5
6-12 3.1% 3.1
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 24.7% 24.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.0 6.9 10.7 75.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.7 23.3 21.7 33.3 10.0 11.7
Lose Out 0.0%