Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.1#346
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.6#66
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 6.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 14.5 15.9
.500 or above 4.0% 34.7% 4.0%
.500 or above in Conference 12.3% 52.1% 12.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 9.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 45.9% 5.3% 46.0%
First Four0.7% 0.0% 0.7%
First Round0.6% 6.8% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 46 - 137 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 25   @ Connecticut L 57-87 0.2%   
  Nov 14, 2021 237   @ Brown L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 16, 2021 59   North Carolina St. L 63-86 2%    
  Nov 17, 2021 258   Umass Lowell L 73-82 22%    
  Nov 20, 2021 261   @ Quinnipiac L 72-84 16%    
  Nov 23, 2021 337   @ Maine L 65-70 32%    
  Nov 28, 2021 275   Fordham L 63-68 34%    
  Dec 01, 2021 321   Holy Cross L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 04, 2021 241   @ New Hampshire L 66-79 15%    
  Dec 11, 2021 65   @ Providence L 60-86 2%    
  Dec 14, 2021 188   @ Stony Brook L 64-80 10%    
  Dec 18, 2021 213   Hartford L 68-76 25%    
  Dec 23, 2021 50   @ Rutgers L 59-86 1%    
  Dec 29, 2021 206   Bryant L 80-89 23%    
  Dec 31, 2021 320   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 78-86 27%    
  Jan 06, 2022 288   Sacred Heart L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 08, 2022 234   Merrimack L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 15, 2022 254   @ LIU Brooklyn L 75-87 17%    
  Jan 17, 2022 288   @ Sacred Heart L 70-80 21%    
  Jan 21, 2022 283   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-82 20%    
  Jan 23, 2022 242   @ Mount St. Mary's L 60-73 16%    
  Jan 27, 2022 254   LIU Brooklyn L 78-84 32%    
  Jan 29, 2022 323   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 78-85 28%    
  Feb 03, 2022 228   Wagner L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 05, 2022 323   Fairleigh Dickinson L 81-82 46%    
  Feb 10, 2022 234   @ Merrimack L 63-76 15%    
  Feb 12, 2022 320   St. Francis Brooklyn L 81-83 44%    
  Feb 17, 2022 206   @ Bryant L 77-92 12%    
  Feb 19, 2022 228   @ Wagner L 67-80 15%    
  Feb 24, 2022 283   St. Francis (PA) L 74-79 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 242   Mount St. Mary's L 63-70 30%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.8 1.2 0.1 6.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.9 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 5.3 7.2 4.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 21.1 9th
10th 4.5 8.9 10.2 7.7 3.6 1.0 0.1 35.9 10th
Total 4.5 9.1 12.1 13.4 13.2 11.6 10.0 7.7 6.1 4.4 3.1 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 48.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 26.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 63.0% 63.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 44.3% 44.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 30.9% 30.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 24.9% 24.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
13-5 0.8% 16.4% 16.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7
12-6 1.3% 15.1% 15.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.1
11-7 2.1% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.9
10-8 3.1% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.9
9-9 4.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.4
8-10 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
7-11 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.7
6-12 10.0% 10.0
5-13 11.6% 11.6
4-14 13.2% 13.2
3-15 13.4% 13.4
2-16 12.1% 12.1
1-17 9.1% 9.1
0-18 4.5% 4.5
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%