Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#181
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#265
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#179
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 23.6% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.9 13.2 14.4
.500 or above 63.8% 87.7% 58.0%
.500 or above in Conference 66.3% 84.0% 61.9%
Conference Champion 15.4% 28.1% 12.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 1.6% 7.0%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round12.4% 23.1% 9.8%
Second Round1.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 19.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 65 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 98   @ Davidson L 61-70 20%    
  Nov 13, 2021 227   @ Siena W 68-67 50%    
  Nov 17, 2021 210   La Salle W 73-68 66%    
  Nov 22, 2021 182   Appalachian St. W 66-65 50%    
  Nov 27, 2021 120   @ Temple L 65-72 28%    
  Nov 30, 2021 254   LIU Brooklyn W 79-71 74%    
  Dec 02, 2021 354   @ Delaware St. W 85-69 90%    
  Dec 05, 2021 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 72-66 69%    
  Dec 08, 2021 292   Lafayette W 77-68 78%    
  Dec 21, 2021 146   Iona L 68-70 43%    
  Dec 29, 2021 266   @ UNC Wilmington W 74-72 56%    
  Dec 31, 2021 235   @ College of Charleston W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 03, 2022 172   James Madison W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 05, 2022 239   Towson W 72-65 70%    
  Jan 11, 2022 175   @ Drexel L 65-69 39%    
  Jan 15, 2022 192   @ Hofstra L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 17, 2022 134   @ Northeastern L 65-71 32%    
  Jan 20, 2022 295   William & Mary W 74-64 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 217   Elon W 70-65 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 239   @ Towson W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 172   @ James Madison L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 175   Drexel W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 10, 2022 134   Northeastern W 69-68 50%    
  Feb 12, 2022 192   Hofstra W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 17, 2022 217   @ Elon L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 295   @ William & Mary W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 24, 2022 235   College of Charleston W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 26, 2022 266   UNC Wilmington W 77-69 74%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.4 4.2 3.1 1.7 0.5 15.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.7 4.7 3.0 1.2 0.2 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 4.5 4.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 3.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.9 4.5 6.1 7.7 9.0 9.8 10.1 10.2 9.9 8.6 6.8 5.4 3.3 1.7 0.5 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.6 0.1
16-2 94.8% 3.1    2.7 0.4
15-3 77.7% 4.2    3.0 1.2 0.1
14-4 50.3% 3.4    1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 21.8% 1.9    0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
12-6 5.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 10.4 3.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 73.3% 63.5% 9.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 27.0%
17-1 1.7% 61.3% 57.5% 3.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 8.9%
16-2 3.3% 46.6% 44.5% 2.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 3.8%
15-3 5.4% 38.0% 37.6% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.3 0.5%
14-4 6.8% 28.8% 28.7% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 4.8 0.1%
13-5 8.6% 21.2% 21.2% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 6.8
12-6 9.9% 14.9% 14.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 8.4
11-7 10.2% 9.9% 9.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 9.2
10-8 10.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 9.4
9-9 9.8% 4.9% 4.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.3
8-10 9.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
7-11 7.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.6
6-12 6.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-16 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.9% 12.7% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 3.3 3.0 2.3 87.1 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 5.2 3.6 6.7 13.9 10.3 31.4 13.9 3.6 3.6 6.7 3.1 3.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 77.4% 7.6 11.3 11.3 9.7 22.6 22.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 7.3 33.3 66.7
Lose Out 0.0%