Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#316
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.6#271
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.8% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 12.3% 25.5% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 23.7% 38.0% 17.3%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 21.8% 11.4% 26.3%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round1.2% 2.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Home) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 48 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 176   Indiana St. L 67-72 31%    
  Nov 12, 2021 43   @ Wisconsin L 55-77 2%    
  Nov 18, 2021 149   UNC Greensboro L 66-76 20%    
  Nov 19, 2021 273   Florida International L 72-75 41%    
  Nov 21, 2021 129   Weber St. L 71-82 17%    
  Dec 02, 2021 282   Robert Morris W 73-72 53%    
  Dec 04, 2021 281   Youngstown St. W 73-72 53%    
  Dec 10, 2021 233   @ UMKC L 61-69 26%    
  Dec 12, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 58-76 7%    
  Dec 22, 2021 106   @ Minnesota L 65-81 9%    
  Dec 30, 2021 166   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-75 17%    
  Jan 01, 2022 115   @ Wright St. L 67-83 11%    
  Jan 05, 2022 205   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 07, 2022 221   @ Oakland L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 09, 2022 212   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 13, 2022 333   IUPUI W 79-73 68%    
  Jan 15, 2022 253   Illinois-Chicago L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 20, 2022 212   Detroit Mercy L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 22, 2022 221   Oakland L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 27, 2022 281   @ Youngstown St. L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 29, 2022 282   @ Robert Morris L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 04, 2022 151   @ Cleveland St. L 64-77 16%    
  Feb 06, 2022 247   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-79 30%    
  Feb 09, 2022 115   Wright St. L 70-80 23%    
  Feb 11, 2022 166   Northern Kentucky L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 13, 2022 205   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-79 23%    
  Feb 18, 2022 247   Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 20, 2022 151   Cleveland St. L 67-74 30%    
  Feb 24, 2022 253   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 333   @ IUPUI L 75-76 49%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.8 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 3.0 4.7 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.4 4.4 4.5 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 15.7 11th
12th 1.0 2.6 3.8 3.9 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 15.6 12th
Total 1.0 2.6 4.6 6.5 8.2 8.9 9.7 9.8 9.1 8.5 7.5 6.2 5.3 4.0 3.0 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
20-2 93.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 79.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
18-4 60.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 31.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-6 11.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 74.1% 74.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.0% 55.4% 55.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 30.2% 30.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.2% 31.2% 31.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.5% 18.2% 18.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
17-5 0.8% 14.8% 14.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
16-6 1.3% 13.3% 13.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
15-7 2.1% 7.5% 7.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.9
14-8 3.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.9
13-9 4.0% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.8
12-10 5.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.2
11-11 6.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.1
10-12 7.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.4
9-13 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.4
8-14 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
7-15 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-16 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
5-17 8.9% 8.9
4-18 8.2% 8.2
3-19 6.5% 6.5
2-20 4.6% 4.6
1-21 2.6% 2.6
0-22 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%