Preseason Rankings
Hartford
America East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#213
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.0#238
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#166
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 16.4% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.2 15.1
.500 or above 60.2% 77.9% 46.9%
.500 or above in Conference 68.8% 80.7% 59.9%
Conference Champion 12.7% 18.9% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.8% 6.5%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 2.1%
First Round10.4% 15.6% 6.5%
Second Round0.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Away) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 63 - 9
Quad 414 - 618 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 228   @ Wagner L 66-68 43%    
  Nov 12, 2021 200   Campbell L 65-66 47%    
  Nov 13, 2021 257   Army W 70-67 59%    
  Nov 18, 2021 197   Boston University W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 23, 2021 234   @ Merrimack L 63-65 44%    
  Nov 29, 2021 182   @ Appalachian St. L 62-67 34%    
  Dec 01, 2021 143   @ Winthrop L 71-78 27%    
  Dec 05, 2021 320   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 77-73 62%    
  Dec 11, 2021 145   @ UNLV L 64-71 27%    
  Dec 14, 2021 283   St. Francis (PA) W 74-67 71%    
  Dec 18, 2021 346   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-68 75%    
  Dec 22, 2021 288   @ Sacred Heart W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 28, 2021 290   @ Cornell W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 02, 2022 188   Stony Brook W 67-65 55%    
  Jan 05, 2022 337   @ Maine W 65-59 69%    
  Jan 08, 2022 116   Vermont L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 12, 2022 327   @ Binghamton W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 15, 2022 258   @ Umass Lowell L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 19, 2022 241   New Hampshire W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 22, 2022 116   @ Vermont L 62-71 22%    
  Jan 26, 2022 327   Binghamton W 73-63 79%    
  Jan 29, 2022 258   Umass Lowell W 74-68 67%    
  Feb 02, 2022 241   @ New Hampshire L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 05, 2022 244   Albany W 71-66 65%    
  Feb 09, 2022 229   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 12, 2022 293   @ NJIT W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 16, 2022 337   Maine W 68-56 83%    
  Feb 19, 2022 188   @ Stony Brook L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 23, 2022 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 293   NJIT W 71-64 72%    
  Mar 01, 2022 244   @ Albany L 68-69 47%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 3.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 12.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.1 4.0 1.6 0.3 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 5.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.0 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.6 3.6 1.0 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.7 4.1 5.5 7.3 8.7 9.8 10.8 10.9 10.3 9.3 7.3 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 1.5    1.4 0.1
16-2 90.3% 3.1    2.5 0.5 0.0
15-3 67.3% 3.4    2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.5% 2.7    1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.3% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 8.3 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 70.4% 63.0% 7.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.0%
17-1 1.5% 56.0% 53.8% 2.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 4.7%
16-2 3.4% 41.7% 41.3% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 0.6%
15-3 5.1% 31.8% 31.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.4
14-4 7.3% 25.8% 25.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 5.4 0.0%
13-5 9.3% 17.9% 17.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 7.6
12-6 10.3% 13.0% 13.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 9.0
11-7 10.9% 8.1% 8.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 10.0
10-8 10.8% 6.1% 6.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.2
9-9 9.8% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.4
8-10 8.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
7-11 7.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.2
6-12 5.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.5
5-13 4.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.1
4-14 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.3% 11.2% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.5 88.7 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 5.7 8.4 4.5 20.8 27.3 13.6 13.0 3.9 4.5 3.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 59.6% 10.3 14.9 44.7
Lose Out 0.0%