Preseason Rankings
Houston Baptist
Southland
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.3#348
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace78.5#21
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-10.9#356
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 19.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 9.5% 66.1% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 26.9% 85.5% 26.8%
Conference Champion 3.2% 25.3% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 34.0% 0.0% 34.0%
First Four2.8% 8.1% 2.8%
First Round1.3% 15.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 46 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 7   @ Texas L 63-97 0.1%   
  Nov 17, 2021 94   @ Texas A&M L 63-87 2%    
  Nov 21, 2021 344   @ Denver L 81-86 33%    
  Nov 24, 2021 40   @ Oklahoma L 63-92 1%    
  Dec 04, 2021 154   Oral Roberts L 80-93 14%    
  Dec 11, 2021 173   Rice L 78-90 15%    
  Dec 21, 2021 273   @ Florida International L 77-89 16%    
  Jan 15, 2022 331   @ McNeese St. L 78-85 27%    
  Jan 20, 2022 345   @ Incarnate Word L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 342   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 78-83 33%    
  Jan 27, 2022 298   New Orleans L 85-90 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 230   Nicholls St. L 81-90 25%    
  Feb 03, 2022 338   Northwestern St. L 84-85 49%    
  Feb 05, 2022 325   SE Louisiana L 80-82 42%    
  Feb 10, 2022 338   @ Northwestern St. L 82-88 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 325   @ SE Louisiana L 77-85 26%    
  Feb 19, 2022 230   @ Nicholls St. L 78-93 12%    
  Feb 24, 2022 345   Incarnate Word W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 26, 2022 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 81-80 52%    
  Mar 02, 2022 298   @ New Orleans L 82-93 19%    
  Mar 05, 2022 331   McNeese St. L 81-82 46%    
Projected Record 6 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 3.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.9 2.4 0.2 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.4 7.0 2.3 0.1 16.0 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 7.2 6.7 2.0 0.1 19.3 7th
8th 3.2 7.2 7.9 4.7 1.2 0.1 24.2 8th
Total 3.2 7.6 10.9 13.0 13.8 13.3 11.3 9.1 7.1 4.9 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
12-2 90.3% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
11-3 60.9% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1
10-4 28.0% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-5 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 49.2% 49.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 45.5% 45.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12-2 0.7% 41.0% 41.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4
11-3 1.7% 26.5% 26.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.3
10-4 3.0% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.5
9-5 4.9% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.5 4.3
8-6 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.4 6.6
7-7 9.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 8.8
6-8 11.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.1
5-9 13.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.2
4-10 13.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.8
3-11 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
2-12 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
1-13 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.5
0-14 3.2% 3.2
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.0 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%