IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.2	#332
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.0	#33
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#261

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.4	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.5%	24.2%	11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	26.8%	61.3%	23.5%
.500 or above in Conference	70.5%	89.5%	68.6%
Conference Champion	14.1%	28.1%	12.8%
Last Place in Conference	4.5%	0.9%	4.8%

First Four	11.1%	18.1%	10.5%
First Round	6.0%	14.1%	5.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 9	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 13, 2021	157	@ Bradley	L	68-83	9%
Nov 16, 2021	6	@ Villanova	L	60-91	0.4%
Nov 20, 2021	299	@ High Point	L	73-80	28%
Nov 26, 2021	285	Austin Peay	L	78-79	45%
Nov 30, 2021	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	65-75	21%
Dec 04, 2021	259	American	L	75-78	41%
Dec 15, 2021	86	@ Georgetown	L	70-90	4%
Dec 18, 2021	286	N.C. A&T	L	80-84	36%
Dec 21, 2021	160	@ Harvard	L	71-86	12%
Dec 23, 2021	126	@ Yale	L	71-88	9%
Dec 30, 2021	329	@ Hampton	L	81-85	39%
Jan 04, 2022	187	@ Penn	L	72-85	15%
Jan 08, 2022	354	@ Delaware St.	W	90-85	66%
Jan 10, 2022	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	81-68	85%
Jan 15, 2022	291	Norfolk St.	L	76-77	46%
Jan 17, 2022	45	Notre Dame	L	70-89	7%
Jan 22, 2022	256	@ Morgan St.	L	80-89	24%
Jan 24, 2022	336	@ Coppin St.	L	86-89	42%
Jan 29, 2022	339	@ NC Central	L	74-76	45%
Jan 31, 2022	352	@ South Carolina St.	W	85-81	64%
Feb 12, 2022	354	Delaware St.	W	93-82	81%
Feb 14, 2022	356	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	78-71	71%
Feb 19, 2022	256	Morgan St.	L	83-86	41%
Feb 21, 2022	336	Coppin St.	W	89-86	61%
Feb 26, 2022	339	NC Central	W	77-73	63%
Feb 28, 2022	352	South Carolina St.	W	88-78	79%
Mar 03, 2022	291	@ Norfolk St.	L	73-80	29%
Projected Record						11 - 16	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.3	1.6	3.9	4.8	2.9	0.8		14.1	1st
2nd								0.0	0.9	3.9	7.1	4.6	1.1				17.6	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.8	6.4	7.8	3.1	0.3					19.5	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.7	6.8	6.3	1.6	0.0						17.7	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	3.1	6.1	3.7	0.7	0.0							14.0	5th
6th			0.0	0.6	2.7	4.1	1.9	0.2	0.0								9.4	6th
7th		0.1	0.6	2.0	2.1	0.6	0.0										5.4	7th
8th	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0											2.3	8th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.5	3.2	5.3	8.0	10.8	12.6	14.2	13.5	11.8	8.8	6.0	2.9	0.8			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
13-1	100.0%	2.9		2.6	0.2
12-2	80.8%	4.8		3.2	1.6	0.1
11-3	44.0%	3.9		1.6	1.8	0.5	0.0
10-4	13.3%	1.6		0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1
9-5	1.9%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.0%	0.0					0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	14.1%	14.1		8.5	4.4	1.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.8%		64.2%	64.2%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3
13-1	2.9%		49.2%	49.2%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2	1.5
12-2	6.0%		38.5%	38.5%		15.9															0.0	0.1	2.2	3.7
11-3	8.8%		30.0%	30.0%		16.0															0.0	0.0	2.6	6.1
10-4	11.8%		19.7%	19.7%		16.0																0.0	2.3	9.4
9-5	13.5%		11.8%	11.8%		16.0																0.0	1.6	12.0
8-6	14.2%		6.6%	6.6%		16.0																	0.9	13.3
7-7	12.6%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.5	12.1
6-8	10.8%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	10.6
5-9	8.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
4-10	5.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
3-11	3.2%																							3.2
2-12	1.5%																							1.5
1-13	0.6%																							0.6
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	11.9	87.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%