Preseason Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#127
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.3#99
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#135
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.1% 5.5% 0.5%
Average Seed 8.7 8.6 9.3
.500 or above 24.1% 26.1% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 9.0% 9.7% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.8% 44.6% 68.6%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
First Round5.1% 5.6% 0.4%
Second Round2.5% 2.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 90.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 11
Quad 22 - 54 - 16
Quad 32 - 26 - 18
Quad 47 - 113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 311   Kennesaw St. W 80-66 91%    
  Nov 12, 2021 70   Oregon St. L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 16, 2021 351   Alabama St. W 84-62 97%    
  Nov 21, 2021 312   Grambling St. W 81-67 89%    
  Nov 24, 2021 37   Xavier L 70-79 23%    
  Dec 01, 2021 355   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-57 98%    
  Dec 04, 2021 48   @ Creighton L 69-79 20%    
  Dec 09, 2021 39   Iowa L 76-81 33%    
  Dec 12, 2021 262   Jackson St. W 75-64 82%    
  Dec 19, 2021 325   SE Louisiana W 83-67 90%    
  Dec 21, 2021 357   Chicago St. W 89-61 99%    
  Jan 01, 2022 9   Baylor L 69-79 21%    
  Jan 05, 2022 21   Texas Tech L 65-73 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 40   @ Oklahoma L 66-77 18%    
  Jan 11, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 65-82 8%    
  Jan 15, 2022 7   Texas L 69-79 21%    
  Jan 18, 2022 21   @ Texas Tech L 62-76 14%    
  Jan 22, 2022 80   TCU L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 26, 2022 35   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-83 17%    
  Jan 29, 2022 84   Missouri L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 01, 2022 4   Kansas L 68-79 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 7   @ Texas L 66-82 10%    
  Feb 08, 2022 32   @ West Virginia L 69-81 17%    
  Feb 12, 2022 89   Kansas St. L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 15, 2022 80   @ TCU L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 19, 2022 40   Oklahoma L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 23, 2022 32   West Virginia L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 89   @ Kansas St. L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 02, 2022 35   Oklahoma St. L 74-80 32%    
  Mar 05, 2022 9   @ Baylor L 66-82 10%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.4 1.2 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.5 4.2 1.3 0.1 15.1 8th
9th 0.4 3.2 7.1 7.4 4.2 1.1 0.1 23.3 9th
10th 5.5 10.1 10.7 6.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 36.2 10th
Total 5.5 10.5 13.9 14.5 13.5 11.4 9.3 7.2 5.2 3.5 2.4 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 71.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 47.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 66.7% 33.3% 2.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.0% 100.0% 33.7% 66.3% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 37.6% 62.4% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 98.9% 17.5% 81.4% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
13-5 0.4% 95.9% 11.6% 84.3% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.4%
12-6 0.9% 90.2% 7.5% 82.7% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 89.4%
11-7 1.4% 74.2% 5.9% 68.3% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 72.6%
10-8 2.4% 53.8% 3.1% 50.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 52.3%
9-9 3.5% 29.2% 2.3% 26.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 27.5%
8-10 5.2% 9.1% 1.1% 8.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.7 8.1%
7-11 7.2% 2.4% 0.4% 2.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0%
6-12 9.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.2%
5-13 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 13.5
3-15 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
2-16 13.9% 13.9
1-17 10.5% 10.5
0-18 5.5% 5.5
Total 100% 5.6% 0.6% 5.0% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.4 5.1%