IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.8	#127
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.3	#99
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.4	#135

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.3	#134

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.2%	1.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.6%	6.1%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	5.1%	5.5%	0.5%
Average Seed	8.7	8.6	9.3

.500 or above	24.1%	26.1%	3.7%
.500 or above in Conference	9.0%	9.7%	1.6%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	46.8%	44.6%	68.6%

First Four	0.9%	1.0%	0.1%
First Round	5.1%	5.6%	0.4%
Second Round	2.5%	2.7%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 90.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	1 - 4	1 - 11
Quad 2	2 - 5	4 - 16
Quad 3	2 - 2	6 - 18
Quad 4	7 - 1	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	311	Kennesaw St.	W	80-66	91%
Nov 12, 2021	70	Oregon St.	L	70-72	42%
Nov 16, 2021	351	Alabama St.	W	84-62	97%
Nov 21, 2021	312	Grambling St.	W	81-67	89%
Nov 24, 2021	37	Xavier	L	70-79	23%
Dec 01, 2021	355	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	83-57	98%
Dec 04, 2021	48	@ Creighton	L	69-79	20%
Dec 09, 2021	39	Iowa	L	76-81	33%
Dec 12, 2021	262	Jackson St.	W	75-64	82%
Dec 19, 2021	325	SE Louisiana	W	83-67	90%
Dec 21, 2021	357	Chicago St.	W	89-61	99%
Jan 01, 2022	9	Baylor	L	69-79	21%
Jan 05, 2022	21	Texas Tech	L	65-73	27%
Jan 08, 2022	40	@ Oklahoma	L	66-77	18%
Jan 11, 2022	4	@ Kansas	L	65-82	8%
Jan 15, 2022	7	Texas	L	69-79	21%
Jan 18, 2022	21	@ Texas Tech	L	62-76	14%
Jan 22, 2022	80	TCU	L	72-73	47%
Jan 26, 2022	35	@ Oklahoma St.	L	71-83	17%
Jan 29, 2022	84	Missouri	L	73-74	47%
Feb 01, 2022	4	Kansas	L	68-79	19%
Feb 05, 2022	7	@ Texas	L	66-82	10%
Feb 08, 2022	32	@ West Virginia	L	69-81	17%
Feb 12, 2022	89	Kansas St.	L	68-69	49%
Feb 15, 2022	80	@ TCU	L	69-76	29%
Feb 19, 2022	40	Oklahoma	L	69-74	34%
Feb 23, 2022	32	West Virginia	L	72-78	31%
Feb 26, 2022	89	@ Kansas St.	L	66-72	31%
Mar 02, 2022	35	Oklahoma St.	L	74-80	32%
Mar 05, 2022	9	@ Baylor	L	66-82	10%
Projected Record						12 - 18	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0						1.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0							2.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.2	1.7	0.8	0.1									4.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.1	2.5	0.9	0.1	0.0									6.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.2	1.3	3.4	3.4	1.2	0.1											9.7	7th
8th			0.0	0.7	3.3	5.5	4.2	1.3	0.1												15.1	8th
9th		0.4	3.2	7.1	7.4	4.2	1.1	0.1													23.3	9th
10th	5.5	10.1	10.7	6.7	2.7	0.5	0.0														36.2	10th

Total	5.5	10.5	13.9	14.5	13.5	11.4	9.3	7.2	5.2	3.5	2.4	1.4	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	93.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	71.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	47.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	18.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	30.0%	70.0%	1.4		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.0%		100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	2.0			0.0																	100.0%
16-2	0.0%		100.0%	33.7%	66.3%	2.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-3	0.1%		100.0%	37.6%	62.4%	3.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0										100.0%
14-4	0.2%		98.9%	17.5%	81.4%	4.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0		98.7%
13-5	0.4%		95.9%	11.6%	84.3%	5.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		95.4%
12-6	0.9%		90.2%	7.5%	82.7%	7.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		89.4%
11-7	1.4%		74.2%	5.9%	68.3%	8.6			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.4		72.6%
10-8	2.4%		53.8%	3.1%	50.7%	9.3					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.1		52.3%
9-9	3.5%		29.2%	2.3%	26.8%	10.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.5		27.5%
8-10	5.2%		9.1%	1.1%	8.0%	10.9							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0				4.7		8.1%
7-11	7.2%		2.4%	0.4%	2.0%	11.6							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			7.0		2.0%
6-12	9.3%		0.3%	0.1%	0.2%	11.6									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		9.3		0.2%
5-13	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		14.2													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	11.4
4-14	13.5%		0.0%	0.0%		15.1															0.0		0.0	13.5
3-15	14.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.5
2-16	13.9%																							13.9
1-17	10.5%																							10.5
0-18	5.5%																							5.5

Total	100%		5.6%	0.6%	5.0%	8.7		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	94.4		5.1%