IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.2	#254
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	79.9	#12
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.3%	29.4%	12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	47.3%	82.9%	45.1%
.500 or above in Conference	64.2%	86.9%	62.8%
Conference Champion	13.5%	31.2%	12.3%
Last Place in Conference	5.9%	0.9%	6.2%

First Four	4.9%	5.0%	4.9%
First Round	10.9%	27.1%	9.8%
Second Round	0.5%	2.5%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.5%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 7	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	67	@ San Francisco	L	68-85	6%
Nov 12, 2021	138	@ Fresno St.	L	68-78	17%
Nov 17, 2021	25	@ Connecticut	L	62-83	3%
Nov 23, 2021	191	@ St. Peter's	L	68-75	28%
Nov 27, 2021	354	Delaware St.	W	94-77	93%
Nov 30, 2021	181	@ Delaware	L	71-79	26%
Dec 02, 2021	239	@ Towson	L	73-77	37%
Dec 09, 2021	275	@ Fordham	L	65-67	43%
Dec 19, 2021	257	Army	W	78-75	60%
Dec 21, 2021	258	Umass Lowell	W	81-78	60%
Dec 29, 2021	288	@ Sacred Heart	L	76-77	46%
Dec 31, 2021	234	@ Merrimack	L	69-73	36%
Jan 06, 2022	242	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-67	58%
Jan 08, 2022	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	80-76	64%
Jan 15, 2022	346	Central Connecticut St.	W	87-75	83%
Jan 17, 2022	320	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	84-83	53%
Jan 21, 2022	228	Wagner	W	75-74	55%
Jan 23, 2022	323	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	84-82	55%
Jan 27, 2022	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	84-78	68%
Jan 29, 2022	206	@ Bryant	L	84-90	31%
Feb 03, 2022	288	Sacred Heart	W	79-74	64%
Feb 05, 2022	228	@ Wagner	L	72-77	36%
Feb 10, 2022	320	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	87-80	71%
Feb 12, 2022	206	Bryant	L	86-87	50%
Feb 17, 2022	283	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	77-79	45%
Feb 19, 2022	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	66-70	39%
Feb 24, 2022	234	Merrimack	W	72-70	55%
Feb 26, 2022	323	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	87-79	73%
Projected Record						14 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.6	3.1	3.6	2.8	1.4	0.4		13.5	1st
2nd											0.1	1.0	3.3	4.3	3.0	1.2	0.2				13.0	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.5	4.3	4.4	1.9	0.4	0.0					12.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.8	4.6	3.9	1.2	0.1							11.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.8	3.6	0.9	0.1								11.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.2	4.5	3.1	0.6	0.0									10.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	2.3	3.7	2.2	0.4	0.0										9.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	2.9	1.6	0.3	0.0											7.9	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	1.9	0.9	0.1	0.0												6.1	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0													3.5	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.2	3.4	5.0	6.4	7.9	9.3	10.3	10.4	10.2	9.3	8.0	6.5	4.8	3.0	1.4	0.4			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	1.4		1.4	0.0
16-2	94.4%	2.8		2.4	0.4	0.0
15-3	75.4%	3.6		2.6	0.9	0.1
14-4	48.4%	3.1		1.6	1.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	20.6%	1.6		0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.2%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.5%	13.5		9.0	3.5	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		63.3%	63.3%		13.1						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
17-1	1.4%		57.6%	57.2%	0.3%	14.0											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.6		0.8%
16-2	3.0%		48.9%	48.9%		14.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	1.5
15-3	4.8%		42.3%	42.3%		15.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.6	2.7
14-4	6.5%		31.8%	31.8%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	4.4
13-5	8.0%		26.4%	26.4%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	5.9
12-6	9.3%		20.8%	20.8%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.7	7.4
11-7	10.2%		14.4%	14.4%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.4	8.7
10-8	10.4%		8.5%	8.5%		16.0																0.0	0.9	9.5
9-9	10.3%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	10.0
8-10	9.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
7-11	7.9%																							7.9
6-12	6.4%																							6.4
5-13	5.0%																							5.0
4-14	3.4%																							3.4
3-15	2.2%																							2.2
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	15.3						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	3.3	7.7	86.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	7.0					35.0		30.0		35.0
Lose Out	0.0%