IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maine
America East
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.7	#337
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.9	#321
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-10.1	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#231

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	7.2%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.5	15.7

.500 or above	6.8%	42.3%	6.6%
.500 or above in Conference	14.1%	48.5%	13.9%
Conference Champion	0.7%	4.4%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	39.3%	9.7%	39.5%

First Four	0.5%	2.8%	0.5%
First Round	0.7%	6.0%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 9	7 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	49-76	1%
Nov 15, 2021	47	@ Colorado	L	49-74	1%
Nov 23, 2021	346	Central Connecticut St.	W	70-65	68%
Nov 27, 2021	157	@ Bradley	L	55-70	10%
Dec 04, 2021	315	@ Columbia	L	60-66	30%
Dec 11, 2021	261	@ Quinnipiac	L	62-71	22%
Dec 21, 2021	234	Merrimack	L	57-62	35%
Dec 29, 2021	50	@ Rutgers	L	50-75	2%
Jan 02, 2022	293	@ NJIT	L	59-67	27%
Jan 05, 2022	213	Hartford	L	59-65	31%
Jan 08, 2022	188	@ Stony Brook	L	55-69	14%
Jan 12, 2022	241	@ New Hampshire	L	57-67	21%
Jan 16, 2022	327	Binghamton	W	64-63	54%
Jan 19, 2022	258	@ Umass Lowell	L	62-71	23%
Jan 22, 2022	229	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	61-66	34%
Jan 25, 2022	241	New Hampshire	L	60-64	37%
Jan 29, 2022	116	@ Vermont	L	53-72	7%
Feb 02, 2022	258	Umass Lowell	L	65-68	39%
Feb 05, 2022	327	@ Binghamton	L	61-66	35%
Feb 09, 2022	244	@ Albany	L	59-69	21%
Feb 13, 2022	188	Stony Brook	L	58-66	28%
Feb 16, 2022	213	@ Hartford	L	56-68	17%
Feb 20, 2022	293	NJIT	L	62-64	45%
Feb 23, 2022	244	Albany	L	62-66	37%
Feb 26, 2022	229	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	58-69	19%
Mar 01, 2022	116	Vermont	L	56-69	17%
Projected Record						7 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0						2.8	3rd
4th									0.2	1.1	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0							4.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.6	2.4	1.1	0.2	0.0								5.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	2.7	3.2	1.2	0.2	0.0									8.0	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.2	3.8	4.3	1.5	0.1	0.0										11.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.5	2.7	5.6	4.6	1.5	0.2	0.0											15.1	8th
9th		0.3	2.1	5.6	7.1	4.7	1.4	0.1													21.3	9th
10th	3.9	7.5	8.6	6.2	2.8	0.7	0.1														29.8	10th

Total	3.9	7.8	10.8	12.3	12.7	12.2	10.6	9.0	6.7	5.0	3.6	2.3	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	90.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	75.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	44.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		66.7%	66.7%		13.5														0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.0%		22.6%	22.6%		14.5															0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		34.2%	34.2%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.2%		16.6%	16.6%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.4%		13.8%	13.8%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
13-5	0.9%		13.0%	13.0%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.8
12-6	1.5%		8.2%	8.2%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.4
11-7	2.3%		5.8%	5.8%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.1
10-8	3.6%		3.8%	3.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	3.5
9-9	5.0%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	4.9
8-10	6.7%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	6.6
7-11	9.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
6-12	10.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
5-13	12.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
4-14	12.7%																							12.7
3-15	12.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
2-16	10.8%																							10.8
1-17	7.8%																							7.8
0-18	3.9%																							3.9

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.7%