IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.7	#229
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#194
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	17.3%	7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.1	15.0

.500 or above	48.3%	77.5%	42.4%
.500 or above in Conference	62.4%	82.3%	58.4%
Conference Champion	9.8%	20.0%	7.8%
Last Place in Conference	5.6%	1.4%	6.4%

First Four	1.9%	1.7%	2.0%
First Round	8.3%	16.4%	6.7%
Second Round	0.6%	1.8%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 6	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	119	@ Massachusetts	L	70-80	17%
Nov 19, 2021	309	Western Carolina	W	77-72	66%
Nov 20, 2021	249	@ Longwood	L	65-67	44%
Nov 23, 2021	259	American	W	71-66	66%
Nov 27, 2021	117	@ Pittsburgh	L	66-76	19%
Dec 01, 2021	315	Columbia	W	74-66	74%
Dec 05, 2021	181	@ Delaware	L	66-72	31%
Dec 08, 2021	86	@ Georgetown	L	66-79	14%
Dec 13, 2021	168	@ Princeton	L	68-75	29%
Dec 16, 2021	149	UNC Greensboro	L	69-71	43%
Dec 22, 2021	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	62-64	43%
Dec 29, 2021	264	Radford	W	68-63	65%
Jan 02, 2022	241	@ New Hampshire	L	67-69	43%
Jan 05, 2022	188	@ Stony Brook	L	65-71	33%
Jan 08, 2022	258	Umass Lowell	W	75-70	65%
Jan 12, 2022	293	@ NJIT	W	70-69	51%
Jan 15, 2022	116	Vermont	L	66-70	36%
Jan 19, 2022	244	Albany	W	73-69	62%
Jan 22, 2022	337	@ Maine	W	66-61	66%
Jan 26, 2022	293	NJIT	W	73-67	70%
Jan 29, 2022	327	@ Binghamton	W	71-68	60%
Feb 02, 2022	244	@ Albany	L	70-72	44%
Feb 05, 2022	241	New Hampshire	W	70-66	62%
Feb 09, 2022	213	Hartford	W	69-67	57%
Feb 12, 2022	258	@ Umass Lowell	L	72-73	46%
Feb 16, 2022	188	Stony Brook	W	68-67	51%
Feb 19, 2022	116	@ Vermont	L	63-73	20%
Feb 23, 2022	213	@ Hartford	L	66-70	38%
Feb 26, 2022	337	Maine	W	69-58	81%
Mar 01, 2022	327	Binghamton	W	74-65	77%
Projected Record						15 - 15	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.1	2.2	2.8	2.2	1.1	0.3		9.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.9	3.0	4.3	3.3	1.3	0.2				13.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.5	4.2	4.7	2.3	0.4	0.0					13.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.1	4.8	4.3	1.4	0.1	0.0						13.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.5	5.1	3.7	0.8	0.0								12.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.6	4.6	2.8	0.5	0.0									11.0	6th
7th					0.1	0.6	2.6	4.0	2.2	0.3	0.0										9.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.5	3.1	1.4	0.2	0.0											8.2	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.1	2.0	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0												5.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0														3.3	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.2	3.5	5.2	6.8	8.5	9.8	10.5	10.7	10.3	9.4	7.8	5.9	4.1	2.4	1.1	0.3			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.1		1.0	0.1
16-2	90.3%	2.2		1.8	0.3	0.0
15-3	67.2%	2.8		1.8	0.8	0.1	0.0
14-4	36.9%	2.2		1.0	0.9	0.2	0.0
13-5	13.6%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.8%	9.8		6.2	2.8	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		67.0%	58.8%	8.2%	11.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		19.8%
17-1	1.1%		55.9%	54.7%	1.3%	13.1							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.5		2.8%
16-2	2.4%		41.4%	41.0%	0.4%	13.7											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	1.4		0.7%
15-3	4.1%		32.8%	32.7%	0.1%	14.2													0.1	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	2.8		0.1%
14-4	5.9%		24.0%	24.0%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	4.5
13-5	7.8%		17.3%	17.3%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	6.4
12-6	9.4%		11.3%	11.3%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	8.3
11-7	10.3%		8.4%	8.4%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	9.5
10-8	10.7%		5.9%	5.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.0
9-9	10.5%		3.7%	3.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	10.1
8-10	9.8%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.2	9.6
7-11	8.5%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.4
6-12	6.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
5-13	5.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
4-14	3.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-15	2.2%																							2.2
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.2%	9.2%	0.1%	14.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.9	2.5	3.3	90.8		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.1			21.4	25.0	3.6	25.0	25.0
Lose Out	0.0%