Preseason Rankings
New Hampshire
America East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#241
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.8#268
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#277
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 16.3% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.2 15.1
.500 or above 42.6% 76.2% 39.3%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 80.0% 54.1%
Conference Champion 8.0% 20.0% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 1.7% 8.1%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 1.9%
First Round6.6% 15.6% 5.7%
Second Round0.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 8.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 613 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 78   @ Marquette L 61-76 9%    
  Nov 18, 2021 65   @ Providence L 59-75 8%    
  Nov 23, 2021 261   Quinnipiac W 73-69 63%    
  Nov 27, 2021 321   @ Holy Cross W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 04, 2021 346   Central Connecticut St. W 79-66 85%    
  Dec 08, 2021 206   @ Bryant L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 11, 2021 162   @ Duquesne L 64-72 26%    
  Dec 21, 2021 77   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-76 12%    
  Dec 29, 2021 270   @ Dartmouth L 66-68 45%    
  Jan 02, 2022 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 05, 2022 116   @ Vermont L 61-72 18%    
  Jan 08, 2022 244   Albany W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 12, 2022 337   Maine W 67-57 79%    
  Jan 15, 2022 188   @ Stony Brook L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 19, 2022 213   @ Hartford L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 22, 2022 258   Umass Lowell W 73-69 62%    
  Jan 25, 2022 337   @ Maine W 64-60 63%    
  Jan 29, 2022 188   Stony Brook L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 02, 2022 213   Hartford W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 05, 2022 229   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-70 38%    
  Feb 09, 2022 293   NJIT W 71-65 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 327   @ Binghamton W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 16, 2022 116   Vermont L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 19, 2022 244   @ Albany L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 23, 2022 293   @ NJIT L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 26, 2022 327   Binghamton W 72-63 75%    
  Mar 01, 2022 258   @ Umass Lowell L 70-72 43%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 8.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.7 2.6 1.1 0.2 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 4.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.7 3.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.0 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.9 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.0 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.3 8.1 9.1 10.2 10.6 10.3 9.5 8.3 6.7 4.9 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.1
16-2 90.3% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 65.7% 2.2    1.4 0.7 0.1
14-4 38.9% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 14.6% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 4.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 66.9% 63.3% 3.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7%
17-1 0.8% 55.3% 53.7% 1.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 3.3%
16-2 1.8% 39.8% 39.5% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.4%
15-3 3.3% 30.4% 30.4% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.3 0.1%
14-4 4.9% 23.2% 23.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 3.8
13-5 6.7% 16.6% 16.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 5.6
12-6 8.3% 11.1% 11.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 7.4
11-7 9.5% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.8
10-8 10.3% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.8
9-9 10.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.2
8-10 10.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.0
7-11 9.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.0
6-12 8.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-13 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-14 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-15 2.8% 2.8
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.2 92.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%