IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#291
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.3	#201
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#318

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#241

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.0%	33.8%	20.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	61.6%	77.5%	45.8%
.500 or above in Conference	89.0%	94.0%	84.1%
Conference Champion	34.3%	42.8%	25.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.2%	0.5%	2.0%

First Four	20.7%	23.5%	18.0%
First Round	15.8%	21.7%	10.0%
Second Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Neutral) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	14 - 7	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 13, 2021	289	Tennessee St.	L	72-73	50%
Nov 16, 2021	295	William & Mary	W	71-68	61%
Nov 19, 2021	150	@ Bowling Green	L	68-79	16%
Nov 21, 2021	37	@ Xavier	L	60-82	3%
Nov 28, 2021	329	Hampton	W	75-71	62%
Nov 29, 2021	312	Grambling St.	W	71-70	55%
Dec 01, 2021	266	@ UNC Wilmington	L	71-75	36%
Dec 04, 2021	329	@ Hampton	W	74-73	52%
Dec 11, 2021	54	@ Wichita St.	L	58-77	6%
Dec 19, 2021	46	@ Loyola Chicago	L	54-74	5%
Dec 21, 2021	240	@ New Mexico	L	65-71	32%
Dec 29, 2021	200	@ Campbell	L	62-70	26%
Jan 08, 2022	356	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	72-61	82%
Jan 10, 2022	354	Delaware St.	W	85-70	89%
Jan 15, 2022	332	@ Howard	W	77-76	54%
Jan 22, 2022	336	Coppin St.	W	82-74	72%
Jan 24, 2022	256	Morgan St.	W	75-74	54%
Jan 29, 2022	352	@ South Carolina St.	W	78-70	75%
Jan 31, 2022	339	@ NC Central	W	69-66	58%
Feb 12, 2022	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-58	91%
Feb 14, 2022	354	@ Delaware St.	W	82-73	76%
Feb 19, 2022	336	@ Coppin St.	W	79-77	55%
Feb 21, 2022	256	@ Morgan St.	L	72-77	36%
Feb 26, 2022	352	South Carolina St.	W	81-67	87%
Feb 28, 2022	339	NC Central	W	72-63	75%
Mar 03, 2022	332	Howard	W	80-73	71%
Projected Record						14 - 12	10 - 4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.3	2.4	7.0	11.0	9.5	4.0		34.3	1st
2nd								0.1	0.8	4.4	9.4	8.0	2.5				25.2	2nd
3rd							0.0	1.1	4.9	7.1	3.4	0.4					16.9	3rd
4th						0.1	1.2	4.1	4.4	1.4	0.0						11.2	4th
5th					0.1	1.1	2.8	2.2	0.5	0.0							6.7	5th
6th			0.0	0.1	0.8	1.6	1.0	0.1									3.5	6th
7th		0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0										1.7	7th
8th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0											0.6	8th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.6	3.1	5.0	7.6	10.5	13.2	15.3	15.4	13.5	9.5	4.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	4.0		4.0
13-1	100.0%	9.5		8.5	1.0
12-2	81.3%	11.0		7.7	3.3	0.1
11-3	45.8%	7.0		3.0	3.3	0.7	0.0
10-4	15.9%	2.4		0.5	1.1	0.7	0.1
9-5	2.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	34.3%	34.3		23.7	8.8	1.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	4.0%		68.2%	68.2%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.5	1.3
13-1	9.5%		57.3%	57.3%		15.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	4.3	4.0
12-2	13.5%		45.0%	45.0%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.4	5.7	7.4
11-3	15.4%		34.9%	34.9%		16.0															0.0	0.1	5.2	10.0
10-4	15.3%		23.4%	23.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	3.6	11.7
9-5	13.2%		15.6%	15.6%		16.0																0.0	2.1	11.1
8-6	10.5%		9.6%	9.6%		16.0																	1.0	9.5
7-7	7.6%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																	0.5	7.2
6-8	5.0%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.2	4.8
5-9	3.1%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	3.1
4-10	1.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
3-11	0.8%																							0.8
2-12	0.3%																							0.3
1-13	0.1%																							0.1
0-14	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		27.0%	27.0%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.2	0.6	2.2	24.0	73.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%