IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#288
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.6	#270
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#244

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.9	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.1%	16.1%	7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	36.4%	62.5%	28.5%
.500 or above in Conference	52.8%	71.4%	47.2%
Conference Champion	8.3%	16.1%	5.9%
Last Place in Conference	9.3%	3.4%	11.0%

First Four	4.3%	5.3%	4.0%
First Round	7.0%	13.5%	5.1%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 23.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 9	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	210	@ La Salle	L	68-76	23%
Nov 11, 2021	65	@ Providence	L	60-78	5%
Nov 14, 2021	327	Binghamton	W	73-67	71%
Nov 20, 2021	260	Fairfield	W	66-65	55%
Nov 22, 2021	188	@ Stony Brook	L	64-73	22%
Nov 30, 2021	293	@ NJIT	L	69-72	41%
Dec 02, 2021	292	@ Lafayette	L	72-75	41%
Dec 05, 2021	237	@ Brown	L	66-72	31%
Dec 07, 2021	101	@ Rhode Island	L	65-80	11%
Dec 13, 2021	315	@ Columbia	L	70-71	46%
Dec 19, 2021	258	@ Umass Lowell	L	71-76	35%
Dec 22, 2021	213	Hartford	L	68-69	46%
Dec 29, 2021	254	LIU Brooklyn	W	77-76	54%
Dec 31, 2021	206	@ Bryant	L	76-84	26%
Jan 06, 2022	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	77-73	63%
Jan 08, 2022	228	@ Wagner	L	67-73	31%
Jan 15, 2022	323	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	80-74	68%
Jan 17, 2022	346	Central Connecticut St.	W	80-70	79%
Jan 21, 2022	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	61-66	34%
Jan 23, 2022	283	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	71-74	40%
Jan 27, 2022	320	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-75	66%
Jan 29, 2022	234	Merrimack	L	66-67	50%
Feb 03, 2022	254	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	74-79	36%
Feb 05, 2022	320	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	77-78	48%
Feb 10, 2022	206	Bryant	L	79-81	44%
Feb 12, 2022	323	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	76-77	50%
Feb 17, 2022	228	Wagner	L	69-70	50%
Feb 19, 2022	234	@ Merrimack	L	63-69	32%
Feb 24, 2022	242	Mount St. Mary's	W	64-63	52%
Feb 26, 2022	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	74-71	58%
Projected Record						13 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.4	1.2	2.1	2.2	1.5	0.7	0.2		8.3	1st
2nd											0.1	0.9	2.6	3.4	2.1	0.7	0.1				9.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.5	3.8	3.8	1.5	0.2	0.0					10.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.9	4.3	3.5	1.0	0.1	0.0						11.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.3	4.7	3.4	0.8	0.0								11.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.7	5.0	3.2	0.6	0.0									11.9	6th
7th					0.1	0.7	2.9	4.7	2.5	0.4	0.0										11.3	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	1.2	3.1	4.0	1.9	0.3	0.0											10.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.6	2.9	2.7	1.1	0.1	0.0												8.9	9th
10th	0.3	0.9	1.5	1.7	1.1	0.3	0.0														5.8	10th

Total	0.3	0.9	1.9	3.4	5.2	6.8	8.6	9.7	10.3	10.4	9.8	9.0	7.8	6.1	4.4	2.9	1.6	0.7	0.2			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.0
16-2	95.1%	1.5		1.4	0.2	0.0
15-3	76.5%	2.2		1.6	0.6	0.0
14-4	48.0%	2.1		1.1	0.9	0.1	0.0
13-5	19.0%	1.2		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	5.1%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0				0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.3%	8.3		5.3	2.3	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		71.7%	71.7%		13.1						0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.7%		51.4%	51.4%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.3
16-2	1.6%		47.0%	47.0%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.9
15-3	2.9%		36.8%	36.8%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	1.8
14-4	4.4%		30.3%	30.3%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	3.1
13-5	6.1%		23.6%	23.6%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	4.6
12-6	7.8%		18.6%	18.6%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.3	6.3
11-7	9.0%		14.6%	14.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.2	7.7
10-8	9.8%		8.8%	8.8%		16.0																0.0	0.8	9.0
9-9	10.4%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.0	0.3	10.0
8-10	10.3%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
7-11	9.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
6-12	8.6%																							8.6
5-13	6.8%																							6.8
4-14	5.2%																							5.2
3-15	3.4%																							3.4
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	15.5						0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.9	6.2	90.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	9.2					30.0				35.0				35.0
Lose Out	0.1%