IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.9	#25
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#335

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	16.1%	4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.2	15.7

.500 or above	25.2%	68.6%	24.5%
.500 or above in Conference	37.0%	72.7%	36.4%
Conference Champion	4.3%	17.5%	4.1%
Last Place in Conference	16.7%	3.4%	16.9%

First Four	2.9%	4.3%	2.8%
First Round	3.6%	14.1%	3.4%
Second Round	0.1%	1.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 9	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	43	@ Wisconsin	L	60-83	2%
Nov 13, 2021	353	St. Thomas	W	85-72	88%
Nov 18, 2021	53	@ Penn St.	L	68-90	3%
Nov 23, 2021	52	@ St. John's	L	74-96	3%
Nov 26, 2021	331	McNeese St.	W	81-79	56%
Dec 01, 2021	275	@ Fordham	L	64-70	30%
Dec 05, 2021	213	Hartford	L	73-77	38%
Dec 08, 2021	191	@ St. Peter's	L	67-78	18%
Dec 11, 2021	354	@ Delaware St.	W	90-83	72%
Dec 19, 2021	249	Longwood	L	72-73	45%
Dec 23, 2021	258	@ Umass Lowell	L	77-84	29%
Dec 29, 2021	234	@ Merrimack	L	68-76	25%
Dec 31, 2021	346	Central Connecticut St.	W	86-78	73%
Jan 06, 2022	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	80-79	51%
Jan 08, 2022	242	Mount St. Mary's	L	68-70	45%
Jan 15, 2022	228	@ Wagner	L	71-80	25%
Jan 17, 2022	254	LIU Brooklyn	L	83-84	47%
Jan 21, 2022	323	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	83-85	43%
Jan 23, 2022	206	@ Bryant	L	83-93	21%
Jan 27, 2022	288	@ Sacred Heart	L	75-80	34%
Jan 29, 2022	228	Wagner	L	74-77	42%
Feb 03, 2022	323	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	86-82	61%
Feb 05, 2022	288	Sacred Heart	W	78-77	52%
Feb 10, 2022	254	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	80-87	29%
Feb 12, 2022	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	83-81	56%
Feb 17, 2022	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	65-73	27%
Feb 19, 2022	283	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	76-82	33%
Feb 24, 2022	206	Bryant	L	86-90	37%
Feb 26, 2022	234	Merrimack	L	71-73	43%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1		4.3	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.8	1.9	1.1	0.3	0.0				5.9	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.2	2.7	2.2	0.8	0.1						7.2	3rd
4th									0.2	1.7	3.5	2.6	0.7	0.0							8.8	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.2	2.6	0.5	0.0								9.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.9	4.9	2.7	0.5	0.0									11.5	6th
7th					0.0	1.0	3.7	5.2	2.7	0.4	0.0										13.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	1.8	4.5	5.0	2.2	0.3	0.0											14.2	8th
9th		0.1	0.9	3.0	4.5	3.8	1.4	0.2	0.0												14.0	9th
10th	0.7	2.1	3.3	2.9	1.7	0.5	0.1														11.3	10th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.2	6.3	8.1	9.7	10.7	10.9	10.3	9.3	7.9	6.5	5.1	3.6	2.3	1.4	0.6	0.3	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	96.0%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	78.2%	1.1		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	50.2%	1.1		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	21.9%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	5.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.3%	4.3		2.6	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		64.2%	64.2%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.3%		48.5%	48.5%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
16-2	0.6%		44.3%	44.3%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4
15-3	1.4%		35.0%	35.0%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.9
14-4	2.3%		26.1%	26.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.7
13-5	3.6%		23.6%	23.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	2.7
12-6	5.1%		16.9%	16.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	4.2
11-7	6.5%		12.6%	12.6%		16.0																0.0	0.8	5.7
10-8	7.9%		7.7%	7.7%		16.0																0.0	0.6	7.3
9-9	9.3%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	9.0
8-10	10.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
7-11	10.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-12	10.7%																							10.7
5-13	9.7%																							9.7
4-14	8.1%																							8.1
3-15	6.3%																							6.3
2-16	4.2%																							4.2
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	3.9	95.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%