IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
West Virginia
Big 12
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.0	#32
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#119
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.6	#24

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.5	#47

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.8%	0.8%	0.0%
#1 Seed	4.0%	4.2%	0.3%
Top 2 Seed	8.7%	9.0%	0.9%
Top 4 Seed	19.2%	19.9%	2.4%
Top 6 Seed	29.9%	31.1%	4.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	56.1%	57.7%	20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	52.2%	53.8%	19.1%
Average Seed	6.2	6.2	8.3

.500 or above	79.4%	81.0%	42.7%
.500 or above in Conference	59.5%	60.9%	28.9%
Conference Champion	9.3%	9.6%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	5.6%	5.0%	17.4%

First Four	4.1%	4.1%	3.0%
First Round	54.0%	55.6%	19.0%
Second Round	36.2%	37.3%	10.0%
Sweet Sixteen	18.4%	19.0%	3.9%
Elite Eight	8.9%	9.2%	1.6%
Final Four	4.2%	4.3%	0.4%
Championship Game	1.9%	2.0%	0.1%
National Champion	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 95.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 2	4 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 2	8 - 10
Quad 3	5 - 1	14 - 11
Quad 4	5 - 0	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	221	Oakland	W	86-68	96%
Nov 12, 2021	117	Pittsburgh	W	79-68	84%
Nov 18, 2021	217	Elon	W	79-64	91%
Nov 26, 2021	180	Eastern Kentucky	W	90-74	91%
Nov 30, 2021	165	Bellarmine	W	79-64	89%
Dec 04, 2021	264	Radford	W	79-58	96%
Dec 08, 2021	25	Connecticut	W	71-69	56%
Dec 12, 2021	132	Kent St.	W	82-69	85%
Dec 18, 2021	74	UAB	W	74-69	65%
Dec 22, 2021	281	Youngstown St.	W	85-64	96%
Jan 01, 2022	7	@ Texas	L	71-78	28%
Jan 03, 2022	80	@ TCU	W	73-71	57%
Jan 08, 2022	89	Kansas St.	W	73-64	76%
Jan 11, 2022	35	Oklahoma St.	W	79-76	60%
Jan 15, 2022	4	@ Kansas	L	70-78	26%
Jan 18, 2022	9	Baylor	L	74-75	47%
Jan 22, 2022	21	@ Texas Tech	L	67-72	36%
Jan 26, 2022	40	Oklahoma	W	74-70	62%
Jan 29, 2022	17	@ Arkansas	L	76-81	35%
Jan 31, 2022	9	@ Baylor	L	71-78	29%
Feb 05, 2022	21	Texas Tech	W	70-69	54%
Feb 08, 2022	127	Iowa St.	W	81-69	83%
Feb 12, 2022	35	@ Oklahoma St.	L	76-79	41%
Feb 14, 2022	89	@ Kansas St.	W	70-67	59%
Feb 19, 2022	4	Kansas	L	73-75	43%
Feb 23, 2022	127	@ Iowa St.	W	78-72	69%
Feb 26, 2022	7	Texas	L	74-75	47%
Mar 01, 2022	40	@ Oklahoma	L	71-73	43%
Mar 05, 2022	80	TCU	W	76-68	74%
Projected Record						18 - 11	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.1	2.2	2.6	1.9	0.9	0.3		9.3	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	2.4	3.6	2.8	1.0	0.2				10.7	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.2	3.7	4.5	2.2	0.4	0.0					12.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.7	4.6	4.4	1.7	0.2							12.8	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.1	5.0	4.0	1.2	0.1								12.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.7	5.0	3.3	0.8	0.1									12.4	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	3.1	4.4	2.6	0.5	0.0										11.3	7th
8th				0.2	1.1	2.9	3.0	1.4	0.3	0.0											8.9	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.2	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0												6.6	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0													3.3	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.5	3.9	5.8	7.3	8.9	10.1	10.5	10.7	10.0	8.9	7.1	5.5	3.5	2.0	0.9	0.3			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
16-2	92.4%	1.9		1.6	0.3	0.0
15-3	72.4%	2.6		1.7	0.8	0.1
14-4	41.1%	2.2		1.0	1.0	0.2	0.0
13-5	15.6%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.3%	9.3		5.7	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		100.0%	56.6%	43.4%	1.2		0.2	0.1																	100.0%
17-1	0.9%		100.0%	51.1%	48.9%	1.3		0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-2	2.0%		100.0%	40.0%	60.0%	1.7		1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	3.5%		100.0%	31.9%	68.1%	2.3		1.0	1.2	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0										100.0%
14-4	5.5%		99.9%	23.7%	76.2%	3.2		0.7	1.4	1.4	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.8%
13-5	7.1%		99.4%	17.1%	82.3%	4.4		0.3	0.8	1.5	1.6	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.2%
12-6	8.9%		97.9%	11.5%	86.4%	5.7		0.1	0.3	0.9	1.4	1.6	1.4	1.1	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		97.6%
11-7	10.0%		92.7%	7.9%	84.9%	7.1		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.2	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.1	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0				0.7		92.1%
10-8	10.7%		80.0%	4.6%	75.3%	8.3			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.2	1.5	1.4	1.2	1.0	0.5	0.0				2.1		79.0%
9-9	10.5%		59.2%	3.1%	56.1%	9.4				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.1	1.2	1.1	0.8	0.1	0.0			4.3		57.9%
8-10	10.1%		29.2%	2.4%	26.9%	10.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.1	0.0			7.2		27.5%
7-11	8.9%		9.9%	1.2%	8.7%	11.1						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.0		8.8%
6-12	7.3%		1.8%	0.3%	1.5%	12.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.2		1.5%
5-13	5.8%		0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	12.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	5.7		0.1%
4-14	3.9%		0.1%	0.1%		13.4														0.0			0.0	3.9
3-15	2.5%																							2.5
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		56.1%	8.1%	48.0%	6.2		4.0	4.7	5.1	5.4	5.5	5.3	5.3	5.1	4.8	4.1	3.8	2.6	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	43.9		52.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	1.2	83.2	16.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	1.3	72.0	28.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.2	77.6	22.4