Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#205
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.9#107
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#236
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 11.5% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 57.3% 69.5% 36.6%
.500 or above in Conference 66.3% 74.9% 51.8%
Conference Champion 10.1% 13.2% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.8% 6.2%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
First Round8.5% 11.1% 4.1%
Second Round0.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Away) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 313   @ North Dakota W 76-72 63%    
  Nov 13, 2021 180   Eastern Kentucky W 84-82 56%    
  Nov 18, 2021 33   @ Florida L 66-83 7%    
  Nov 23, 2021 150   Bowling Green L 77-80 39%    
  Nov 28, 2021 347   Alcorn St. W 83-67 90%    
  Dec 02, 2021 281   Youngstown St. W 78-71 73%    
  Dec 04, 2021 282   Robert Morris W 79-71 73%    
  Dec 10, 2021 47   @ Colorado L 63-78 10%    
  Dec 13, 2021 101   Rhode Island L 73-77 36%    
  Dec 30, 2021 115   @ Wright St. L 73-82 23%    
  Jan 01, 2022 166   @ Northern Kentucky L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 05, 2022 316   @ Green Bay W 76-72 62%    
  Jan 07, 2022 212   @ Detroit Mercy L 76-78 42%    
  Jan 09, 2022 221   @ Oakland L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 13, 2022 253   Illinois-Chicago W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 15, 2022 333   IUPUI W 85-73 84%    
  Jan 20, 2022 221   Oakland W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 22, 2022 212   Detroit Mercy W 79-75 61%    
  Jan 27, 2022 282   @ Robert Morris W 76-74 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 281   @ Youngstown St. W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 04, 2022 247   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 06, 2022 151   @ Cleveland St. L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 09, 2022 166   Northern Kentucky W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 11, 2022 115   Wright St. L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 13, 2022 316   Green Bay W 79-69 77%    
  Feb 18, 2022 151   Cleveland St. W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 20, 2022 247   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-75 68%    
  Feb 24, 2022 333   @ IUPUI W 82-76 69%    
  Feb 26, 2022 253   @ Illinois-Chicago W 74-73 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.3 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 10.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.1 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.9 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.5 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.8 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.6 4.5 5.7 6.6 7.9 8.3 9.1 8.9 8.7 8.2 7.0 5.9 4.3 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
21-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
20-2 95.7% 1.7    1.5 0.2 0.0
19-3 76.5% 2.3    1.8 0.5 0.0
18-4 54.3% 2.3    1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
17-5 27.5% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
16-6 10.6% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 6.7 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.2% 79.3% 68.8% 10.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.6%
21-1 0.8% 56.8% 51.5% 5.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.0%
20-2 1.8% 47.5% 45.8% 1.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.3%
19-3 3.0% 34.3% 33.5% 0.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 1.3%
18-4 4.3% 27.0% 27.0% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.1
17-5 5.9% 20.9% 20.9% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 4.7
16-6 7.0% 15.3% 15.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 5.9
15-7 8.2% 12.0% 12.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 7.2
14-8 8.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 8.1
13-9 8.9% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.4
12-10 9.1% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.7
11-11 8.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.1
10-12 7.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.8
9-13 6.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.6
8-14 5.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.7
7-15 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
6-16 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-17 2.3% 2.3
4-18 1.5% 1.5
3-19 0.9% 0.9
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.9% 8.8% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.3 1.8 91.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.8 15.2 13.0 41.3 17.4 13.0