Campbell
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#33
Pace56.5#357
Improvement-0.6#232

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot-2.5#251
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#63
Layup/Dunks+2.1#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#283
Freethrows-1.8#290
Improvement+0.0#174

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#191
First Shot-1.4#229
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks+2.8#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#327
Freethrows+1.2#113
Improvement-0.6#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 25.7% 17.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 93.0% 98.8% 91.8%
.500 or above in Conference 89.5% 94.6% 88.5%
Conference Champion 22.8% 32.6% 20.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.5% 0.1% 0.6%
First Round18.2% 25.7% 16.7%
Second Round1.0% 1.4% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 33 - 5
Quad 416 - 519 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 265   Hartford W 68-67 68%     1 - 0 -4.7 -3.2 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2021 5   @ Duke L 56-67 3%     1 - 1 +9.6 +3.2 +4.4
  Nov 18, 2021 114   @ Marshall W 67-65 24%     2 - 1 +8.3 -1.8 +10.2
  Nov 24, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-55 91%     3 - 1 -5.0 +0.0 -3.0
  Nov 27, 2021 268   @ Stetson W 60-58 58%     4 - 1 -1.0 -4.2 +3.6
  Dec 04, 2021 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 52-62 17%    
  Dec 15, 2021 176   Georgia Southern W 62-59 61%    
  Dec 22, 2021 283   @ UNC Wilmington W 63-60 59%    
  Dec 29, 2021 250   Norfolk St. W 67-60 73%    
  Jan 02, 2022 257   Jacksonville W 62-55 74%    
  Jan 05, 2022 270   UNC Asheville W 68-60 77%    
  Jan 08, 2022 146   @ Winthrop L 66-71 30%    
  Jan 12, 2022 349   Charleston Southern W 77-60 93%    
  Jan 15, 2022 248   Radford W 63-56 74%    
  Jan 19, 2022 210   @ Longwood L 60-62 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 281   @ N.C. A&T W 64-62 58%    
  Jan 26, 2022 338   Hampton W 71-56 90%    
  Jan 29, 2022 282   High Point W 63-55 77%    
  Feb 02, 2022 293   @ Presbyterian W 60-57 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-61 75%    
  Feb 09, 2022 190   Gardner-Webb W 64-61 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 282   @ High Point W 60-58 59%    
  Feb 16, 2022 248   @ Radford W 60-59 52%    
  Feb 19, 2022 281   N.C. A&T W 67-59 78%    
  Feb 23, 2022 338   @ Hampton W 68-59 77%    
  Feb 26, 2022 210   Longwood W 63-59 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 11 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.5 7.2 6.9 3.7 0.9 22.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.7 7.1 5.1 1.0 0.0 18.9 2nd
3rd 0.9 4.4 7.4 3.3 0.4 16.3 3rd
4th 0.3 3.7 6.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.9 2.3 0.2 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.0 0.3 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 1.5 0.3 3.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 3.4 5.1 8.1 12.8 13.7 15.5 14.2 12.7 7.9 3.7 0.9 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
15-1 98.8% 3.7    3.4 0.3
14-2 87.2% 6.9    4.9 2.0 0.1
13-3 56.6% 7.2    3.5 3.0 0.6 0.0
12-4 24.4% 3.5    0.9 1.5 0.9 0.2
11-5 4.0% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 22.8% 22.8 13.6 7.0 1.9 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.9% 69.9% 67.7% 2.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 6.6%
15-1 3.7% 45.1% 45.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.1 0.1%
14-2 7.9% 37.4% 37.4% 13.6 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.0
13-3 12.7% 31.9% 31.9% 14.0 0.0 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.0 8.6
12-4 14.2% 23.1% 23.1% 14.5 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.1 10.9
11-5 15.5% 15.7% 15.7% 14.8 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.4 13.0
10-6 13.7% 9.8% 9.8% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 12.4
9-7 12.8% 8.8% 8.8% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 11.7
8-8 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 7.5
7-9 5.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
6-10 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 3.3
5-11 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-12 0.6% 0.6
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 3.6 5.8 6.0 2.0 81.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.5 25.0 47.7 2.3 25.0