Marshall
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#116
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#170
Pace85.3#2
Improvement+1.4#61

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#83
First Shot+2.9#94
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#140
Layup/Dunks+6.8#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#320
Freethrows+0.7#141
Improvement+1.9#29

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#178
First Shot+0.1#172
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#197
Layups/Dunks+1.8#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#267
Freethrows+0.7#151
Improvement-0.4#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 14.6% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.8 12.5 13.1
.500 or above 78.3% 87.2% 69.0%
.500 or above in Conference 81.8% 86.2% 77.1%
Conference Champion 14.3% 16.8% 11.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round11.9% 14.2% 9.6%
Second Round2.1% 2.8% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 37 - 69 - 10
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 205   Wright St. W 96-88 79%     1 - 0 +3.0 +0.0 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2021 181   Campbell L 65-67 76%     1 - 1 -6.0 -7.4 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2021 249   Jackson St. W 80-66 85%     2 - 1 +6.2 +4.8 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2021 183   Louisiana W 93-79 76%     3 - 1 +9.9 +3.4 +4.1
  Nov 27, 2021 30   @ Indiana L 79-90 14%     3 - 2 +4.3 +8.7 -3.5
  Dec 01, 2021 166   @ Akron W 76-75 51%    
  Dec 04, 2021 193   Duquesne W 83-75 76%    
  Dec 11, 2021 140   @ Eastern Kentucky L 88-90 43%    
  Dec 15, 2021 73   @ Ohio L 79-86 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 114   Northern Iowa W 84-81 61%    
  Dec 21, 2021 118   @ Toledo L 82-85 39%    
  Dec 30, 2021 112   @ Louisiana Tech L 82-86 37%    
  Jan 01, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 08, 2022 200   Florida Atlantic W 86-78 77%    
  Jan 13, 2022 115   North Texas W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 15, 2022 169   Rice W 89-82 72%    
  Jan 20, 2022 228   @ Florida International W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 22, 2022 200   @ Florida Atlantic W 83-81 58%    
  Jan 27, 2022 185   Middle Tennessee W 83-75 75%    
  Jan 29, 2022 52   UAB L 79-81 42%    
  Feb 03, 2022 233   @ Old Dominion W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 198   @ Charlotte W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 10, 2022 228   Florida International W 81-71 80%    
  Feb 13, 2022 159   @ UTEP L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 17, 2022 233   Old Dominion W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 19, 2022 198   Charlotte W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 24, 2022 185   @ Middle Tennessee W 80-78 56%    
  Mar 02, 2022 123   Western Kentucky W 83-79 62%    
  Mar 05, 2022 123   @ Western Kentucky L 80-82 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 3.2 4.8 3.0 1.5 0.3 14.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.6 5.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.4 6.0 4.2 1.2 0.1 14.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.2 4.1 0.9 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.7 4.4 4.0 0.9 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 3.9 1.2 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.5 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.8 0.2 5.4 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.8 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 3.0 4.8 7.6 9.4 11.8 13.1 13.8 12.0 9.5 7.0 3.4 1.6 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 97.4% 1.5    1.4 0.1
16-2 89.6% 3.0    2.3 0.7 0.0
15-3 67.8% 4.8    2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 33.5% 3.2    1.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
13-5 10.6% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.3% 14.3 8.3 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 73.3% 43.3% 30.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 52.9%
17-1 1.6% 47.4% 33.3% 14.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 21.2%
16-2 3.4% 41.7% 35.7% 6.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.0 9.3%
15-3 7.0% 27.8% 27.1% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.1 1.0%
14-4 9.5% 21.5% 21.1% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.5 0.5%
13-5 12.0% 17.1% 17.1% 13.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 9.9
12-6 13.8% 12.5% 12.5% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 12.1
11-7 13.1% 6.9% 6.9% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.2
10-8 11.8% 4.8% 4.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.2
9-9 9.4% 3.2% 3.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.1
8-10 7.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.5
7-11 4.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 3.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-13 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.2% 11.6% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 3.1 3.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 87.8 0.7%