Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
77 UC Irvine 0.0%   23 - 9 17 - 3 23 - 9 17 - 3 +7.1      +2.3 112 +4.8 42 70.4 116 +6.1 93 +8.1 1
120 UC San Diego 0.0%   18 - 11 15 - 5 19 - 11 15 - 5 +3.1      +4.5 73 -1.4 215 64.3 299 +2.1 133 +5.0 2
159 Hawaii 0.0%   18 - 14 11 - 9 18 - 14 11 - 9 +0.3      -0.7 200 +0.9 144 65.2 270 -0.4 171 -0.2 4
160 Long Beach St. 100.0%   15   19 - 14 10 - 10 19 - 15 10 - 10 +0.3      +1.3 146 -1.0 204 77.1 19 +1.4 139 -1.5 6
165 UC Davis 0.0%   18 - 13 14 - 6 18 - 13 14 - 6 -0.1      -2.3 243 +2.2 111 67.6 208 +0.5 156 +3.9 3
198 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   14 - 15 9 - 11 14 - 15 9 - 11 -2.1      +0.4 168 -2.5 247 67.9 195 -2.4 211 -2.5 8
202 UC Riverside 0.0%   14 - 18 10 - 10 14 - 18 10 - 10 -2.2      -0.7 201 -1.5 219 67.0 225 -2.3 209 -1.2 5
225 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 13 12 - 18 7 - 13 -3.3      -3.8 276 +0.5 154 65.9 257 -2.9 222 -5.0 10
227 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 12 11 - 19 8 - 12 -3.3      -3.2 260 -0.2 175 62.9 329 -4.6 252 -3.7 9
229 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 11 17 - 15 9 - 11 -3.4      -3.9 282 +0.5 152 79.4 13 -1.4 187 -2.4 7
329 Cal Poly 0.0%   3 - 28 0 - 20 3 - 28 0 - 20 -11.3      -7.8 342 -3.5 279 65.2 271 -13.7 345 -20.8 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC San Diego 2.0 100.0
Hawaii 4.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 5.0 100.0
UC Davis 3.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 7.0 100.0
UC Riverside 5.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 10.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 9.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 7.0 100.0
Cal Poly 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
UC Irvine 17 - 3 100.0
UC San Diego 15 - 5 100.0
Hawaii 11 - 9 100.0
Long Beach St. 10 - 10 100.0
UC Davis 14 - 6 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 9 - 11 100.0
UC Riverside 10 - 10 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 7 - 13 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 8 - 12 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 9 - 11 100.0
Cal Poly 0 - 20 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC San Diego
Hawaii
Long Beach St.
UC Davis
UC Santa Barbara
UC Riverside
Cal St. Fullerton
Cal St. Bakersfield
Cal St. Northridge
Cal Poly


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 6.7 91.2 2.1
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 3.9% 0.0 96.1 3.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0