Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
146 Colgate 100.0%   15   24 - 9 16 - 2 24 - 10 16 - 2 +1.3      -1.1 211 +2.4 107 66.0 255 +2.1 132 +3.0 1
255 Lehigh 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 9 12 - 18 9 - 9 -5.0      -4.5 291 -0.5 192 73.7 52 -7.8 304 -8.4 6
269 Bucknell 0.0%   14 - 19 10 - 8 14 - 19 10 - 8 -5.6      -4.0 284 -1.6 220 63.4 319 -6.8 288 -7.0 5
287 American 0.0%   15 - 16 10 - 8 15 - 16 10 - 8 -6.6      -1.9 229 -4.8 325 59.5 355 -7.6 297 -6.8 4
296 Boston University 0.0%   15 - 17 10 - 8 15 - 17 10 - 8 -7.3      -5.3 309 -2.0 236 65.0 278 -7.0 289 -6.7 3
314 Lafayette 0.0%   10 - 21 10 - 8 10 - 21 10 - 8 -8.9      -8.3 345 -0.7 195 64.2 304 -9.4 316 -6.5 2
319 Navy 0.0%   12 - 18 8 - 10 12 - 18 8 - 10 -9.3      -6.0 316 -3.2 267 64.3 298 -9.9 319 -9.3 7
336 Army 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 12 8 - 22 6 - 12 -11.9      -9.9 355 -2.0 237 60.0 353 -13.1 341 -11.9 9
341 Holy Cross 0.0%   9 - 23 6 - 12 9 - 23 6 - 12 -13.0      -3.6 270 -9.4 361 64.9 281 -12.1 336 -11.7 8
344 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   6 - 25 5 - 13 6 - 25 5 - 13 -13.3      -8.3 346 -5.0 332 65.5 265 -14.2 347 -13.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 1.0 100.0
Lehigh 6.0 100.0
Bucknell 2.0 100.0
American 2.0 100.0
Boston University 2.0 100.0
Lafayette 2.0 100.0
Navy 7.0 100.0
Army 8.0 100.0
Holy Cross 8.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 16 - 2 100.0
Lehigh 9 - 9 100.0
Bucknell 10 - 8 100.0
American 10 - 8 100.0
Boston University 10 - 8 100.0
Lafayette 10 - 8 100.0
Navy 8 - 10 100.0
Army 6 - 12 100.0
Holy Cross 6 - 12 100.0
Loyola Maryland 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 100.0% 100.0
Lehigh
Bucknell
American
Boston University
Lafayette
Navy
Army
Holy Cross
Loyola Maryland


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   2.0 48.1 49.9 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0