Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#348
Expected Predictive Rating-16.2#356
Pace71.6#88
Improvement+0.6#148

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#334
First Shot-9.0#355
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#72
Layup/Dunks-3.3#303
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#295
Freethrows-1.2#258
Improvement-0.7#223

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#349
First Shot-4.8#329
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#301
Layups/Dunks-5.5#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#141
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement+1.3#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 100 - 15
Quad 43 - 123 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 326   Fairleigh Dickinson L 86-92 51%     0 - 1 -19.6 -1.6 -17.4
  Nov 11, 2023 220   South Alabama L 56-70 23%     0 - 2 -19.6 -19.0 -0.8
  Nov 20, 2023 122   Hofstra L 68-102 7%     0 - 3 -31.1 -5.5 -24.4
  Nov 21, 2023 153   Louisiana L 60-68 10%     0 - 4 -7.3 -3.7 -4.6
  Nov 22, 2023 239   Iona L 64-89 18%     0 - 5 -28.8 -9.0 -20.4
  Nov 29, 2023 64   @ James Madison L 66-81 2%     0 - 6 -3.6 +0.5 -4.7
  Dec 02, 2023 102   St. Bonaventure L 65-80 8%     0 - 7 -12.5 -8.2 -4.3
  Dec 05, 2023 63   @ Butler L 59-72 2%     0 - 8 -1.4 -8.6 +7.3
  Dec 09, 2023 127   Western Kentucky L 65-82 11%     0 - 9 -17.0 -13.1 -2.2
  Dec 21, 2023 88   @ Richmond L 66-72 3%     0 - 10 +3.1 -3.0 +6.4
  Dec 29, 2023 272   Niagara L 63-69 31%     0 - 11 -14.4 -13.7 -0.8
  Jan 02, 2024 271   @ Central Michigan W 76-64 16%     1 - 11 1 - 0 +8.9 +7.2 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2024 301   Western Michigan L 77-82 38%     1 - 12 1 - 1 -15.3 +1.1 -16.6
  Jan 09, 2024 256   Miami (OH) L 65-86 29%     1 - 13 1 - 2 -28.6 -0.7 -30.8
  Jan 12, 2024 123   @ Akron L 59-76 5%     1 - 14 1 - 3 -11.5 -10.1 -1.3
  Jan 16, 2024 140   @ Toledo L 66-77 6%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -6.7 -9.8 +3.4
  Jan 23, 2024 263   Ball St. L 59-87 29%     1 - 16 1 - 5 -35.8 -21.3 -13.1
  Jan 27, 2024 324   @ Eastern Michigan L 65-75 28%     1 - 17 1 - 6 -17.5 -4.3 -14.1
  Jan 30, 2024 143   @ Ohio L 70-91 6%     1 - 18 1 - 7 -17.0 -6.0 -9.7
  Feb 02, 2024 173   Kent St. L 52-83 17%     1 - 19 1 - 8 -34.2 -19.5 -16.6
  Feb 06, 2024 234   @ Bowling Green L 73-87 13%     1 - 20 1 - 9 -15.1 -5.1 -9.0
  Feb 10, 2024 259   @ Georgia Southern W 82-81 OT 15%     2 - 20 -1.5 +0.5 -2.0
  Feb 13, 2024 306   @ Northern Illinois L 68-72 23%     2 - 21 1 - 10 -9.6 -5.8 -4.0
  Feb 17, 2024 123   Akron L 62-73 10%     2 - 22 1 - 11 -10.7 -8.3 -2.7
  Feb 20, 2024 324   Eastern Michigan W 78-69 47%     3 - 22 2 - 11 -3.6 +3.4 -6.6
  Feb 24, 2024 301   @ Western Michigan L 72-91 21%     3 - 23 2 - 12 -24.1 -8.4 -14.3
  Feb 27, 2024 173   @ Kent St. L 64-76 8%     3 - 24 2 - 13 -10.0 -7.2 -3.0
  Mar 02, 2024 140   Toledo L 79-85 12%     3 - 25 2 - 14 -6.9 -2.4 -4.1
  Mar 05, 2024 143   Ohio L 66-78 13%     3 - 26 2 - 15 -13.2 -9.6 -3.3
  Mar 08, 2024 306   Northern Illinois L 68-78 40%     3 - 27 2 - 16 -20.8 -13.7 -6.8
Projected Record 3 - 27 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%