Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#111
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#108
Pace66.5#241
Improvement+1.5#118

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#121
First Shot+3.4#83
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#270
Layup/Dunks-0.2#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#101
Freethrows+0.9#104
Improvement-1.0#242

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#126
First Shot-0.9#197
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#17
Layups/Dunks+3.5#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#279
Freethrows-1.5#282
Improvement+2.5#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 6
Quad 25 - 35 - 9
Quad 36 - 411 - 13
Quad 47 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 78   @ North Texas L 77-83 OT 28%     0 - 1 +3.7 +8.7 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2023 89   @ South Florida L 65-74 30%     0 - 2 +0.0 -0.5 +0.1
  Nov 22, 2023 8   North Carolina L 69-91 10%     0 - 3 -4.4 +2.7 -6.1
  Nov 23, 2023 26   Texas Tech L 70-72 19%     0 - 4 +11.0 +6.0 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2023 98   Stanford W 73-51 43%     1 - 4 +27.4 +4.1 +23.9
  Nov 29, 2023 114   Belmont L 70-90 61%     1 - 5 -19.1 -5.5 -12.8
  Dec 02, 2023 224   @ Evansville L 89-91 OT 66%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -2.6 +8.5 -10.9
  Dec 06, 2023 88   Richmond W 78-73 49%     2 - 6 +8.9 +8.8 +0.0
  Dec 09, 2023 140   @ Toledo L 80-84 48%     2 - 7 +0.3 +2.9 -2.5
  Dec 12, 2023 342   Prairie View W 74-55 95%     3 - 7 +3.3 -0.6 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2023 303   Alcorn St. W 100-82 90%     4 - 7 +7.5 +18.7 -11.2
  Dec 21, 2023 306   @ Northern Illinois W 76-63 81%     5 - 7 +7.4 +6.7 +2.0
  Jan 03, 2024 149   @ Missouri St. W 64-62 50%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +5.7 -0.4 +6.3
  Jan 07, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 66-77 33%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -2.8 -4.9 +2.1
  Jan 10, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago W 67-59 79%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +3.1 -2.1 +5.6
  Jan 14, 2024 161   @ Murray St. W 70-60 53%     8 - 8 3 - 2 +12.8 +1.5 +11.8
  Jan 17, 2024 114   @ Belmont W 83-72 41%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +17.1 +12.9 +4.2
  Jan 20, 2024 125   Southern Illinois W 61-57 64%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +4.1 -5.8 +10.4
  Jan 23, 2024 224   Evansville W 70-63 82%     11 - 8 6 - 2 +1.2 +0.4 +1.3
  Jan 27, 2024 53   @ Drake L 63-77 20%     11 - 9 6 - 3 -1.4 +0.1 -2.7
  Jan 31, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 69-85 26%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -5.4 +2.9 -8.6
  Feb 03, 2024 161   Murray St. L 43-71 72%     11 - 11 6 - 5 -30.4 -22.5 -13.6
  Feb 07, 2024 149   Missouri St. W 72-65 69%     12 - 11 7 - 5 +5.5 +6.5 -0.4
  Feb 11, 2024 205   @ Illinois-Chicago L 65-71 63%     12 - 12 7 - 6 -5.8 -2.0 -4.1
  Feb 14, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso W 86-67 80%     13 - 12 8 - 6 +13.9 +16.2 -1.0
  Feb 18, 2024 67   Bradley W 74-63 44%     14 - 12 9 - 6 +16.4 +7.1 +9.8
  Feb 21, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. L 73-81 58%     14 - 13 9 - 7 -6.4 +7.2 -14.1
  Feb 24, 2024 53   Drake W 91-77 36%     15 - 13 10 - 7 +21.4 +16.9 +3.9
  Feb 27, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 68-54 90%     16 - 13 11 - 7 +3.7 -12.3 +15.6
  Mar 03, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois W 82-70 44%     17 - 13 12 - 7 +17.3 +18.1 +0.2
  Mar 08, 2024 114   Belmont W 67-62 51%     18 - 13 +8.5 -8.9 +17.0
  Mar 09, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 72-94 25%     18 - 14 -11.2 +3.8 -15.6
Projected Record 18 - 14 12 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%