Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#50
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#45
Pace68.7#164
Improvement-2.4#292

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#104
First Shot+3.3#86
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#222
Layup/Dunks+5.6#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement+1.4#108

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#16
First Shot+6.8#17
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#100
Layups/Dunks+4.4#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#48
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement-3.8#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.7% n/a n/a
First Round19.4% n/a n/a
Second Round8.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 9
Quad 22 - 48 - 13
Quad 32 - 010 - 13
Quad 411 - 021 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 249   Columbia W 78-59 94%     1 - 0 +12.0 -7.6 +17.8
  Nov 11, 2023 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-69 92%     2 - 0 +4.4 -0.4 +4.7
  Nov 14, 2023 19   Wisconsin W 72-59 46%     3 - 0 +24.4 +6.1 +18.9
  Nov 17, 2023 62   Kansas St. L 70-73 OT 55%     3 - 1 +6.0 -2.6 +8.9
  Nov 19, 2023 84   Georgia W 71-64 64%     4 - 1 +13.7 +2.7 +11.1
  Nov 24, 2023 255   Lehigh W 78-64 94%     5 - 1 +6.4 +4.5 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2023 300   Wagner W 86-52 96%     6 - 1 +23.7 +11.6 +12.1
  Dec 02, 2023 210   Rhode Island W 84-69 92%     7 - 1 +9.8 +6.6 +3.1
  Dec 05, 2023 37   @ Oklahoma L 51-72 36%     7 - 2 -6.9 -14.4 +7.3
  Dec 10, 2023 188   Brown W 74-54 90%     8 - 2 +16.2 +0.8 +15.6
  Dec 16, 2023 298   Sacred Heart W 78-64 96%     9 - 2 +3.9 -1.3 +5.0
  Dec 19, 2023 12   Marquette W 72-57 37%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +28.7 +3.3 +25.0
  Dec 23, 2023 63   Butler W 85-75 OT 65%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +16.4 +8.8 +6.8
  Jan 03, 2024 58   Seton Hall L 57-61 63%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +2.8 -10.9 +13.7
  Jan 06, 2024 11   @ Creighton L 60-69 20%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +10.0 -2.4 +12.1
  Jan 10, 2024 25   @ St. John's L 73-75 30%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +13.7 +7.5 +6.1
  Jan 13, 2024 57   Xavier L 65-85 63%     11 - 6 2 - 4 -13.1 -1.1 -13.0
  Jan 17, 2024 294   @ DePaul W 100-62 91%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +33.4 +19.2 +12.1
  Jan 24, 2024 58   @ Seton Hall W 67-63 43%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +16.0 +6.9 +9.5
  Jan 27, 2024 176   Georgetown W 84-76 89%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +4.6 +2.3 +2.0
  Jan 31, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 65-74 9%     14 - 7 5 - 5 +16.3 +3.5 +12.5
  Feb 04, 2024 35   @ Villanova L 50-68 35%     14 - 8 5 - 6 -3.6 -6.9 +1.0
  Feb 07, 2024 11   Creighton W 91-87 OT 37%     15 - 8 6 - 6 +17.8 +17.2 +0.3
  Feb 10, 2024 63   @ Butler L 72-75 45%     15 - 9 6 - 7 +8.6 +4.5 +4.1
  Feb 13, 2024 25   St. John's W 75-72 49%     16 - 9 7 - 7 +13.5 +0.4 +12.8
  Feb 17, 2024 294   DePaul W 81-70 96%     17 - 9 8 - 7 +1.2 +9.5 -7.4
  Feb 21, 2024 57   @ Xavier W 79-75 43%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +16.1 +13.6 +2.5
  Feb 28, 2024 12   @ Marquette L 69-91 21%     18 - 10 9 - 8 -3.1 +7.2 -11.0
  Mar 02, 2024 35   Villanova L 60-71 54%     18 - 11 9 - 9 -1.8 +2.9 -6.3
  Mar 05, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 71-58 79%     19 - 11 10 - 9 +14.8 -0.2 +15.9
  Mar 09, 2024 1   Connecticut L 60-74 18%     19 - 12 10 - 10 +6.1 -3.3 +8.8
  Mar 13, 2024 176   Georgetown W 74-56 85%     20 - 12 +17.2 +5.9 +13.5
  Mar 14, 2024 11   Creighton W 78-73 28%     21 - 12 +21.4 +8.1 +13.1
  Mar 15, 2024 12   Marquette L 68-79 28%     21 - 13 +5.3 +6.5 -1.8
Projected Record 21 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 31.1% 31.1% 10.3 0.0 0.4 2.9 14.1 13.6 0.0 68.9 31.1%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 31.1% 0.0% 31.1% 10.3 0.0 0.4 2.9 14.1 13.6 0.0 68.9 31.1%