Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#164
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Pace74.3#47
Improvement-1.8#267

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#209
First Shot+1.2#150
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#305
Layup/Dunks+2.9#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#92
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement-2.8#318

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#145
First Shot+2.2#110
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#288
Layups/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#22
Freethrows-0.2#212
Improvement+1.0#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 414 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 294   @ DePaul W 82-74 OT 67%     1 - 0 +3.4 +0.2 +2.6
  Nov 12, 2023 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 86-64 90%     2 - 0 +7.9 +4.6 +2.5
  Nov 17, 2023 311   Northern Arizona W 77-67 79%     3 - 0 +1.5 -8.7 +9.0
  Nov 18, 2023 322   South Dakota W 93-81 81%     4 - 0 +2.5 +10.7 -8.4
  Nov 22, 2023 72   @ San Francisco L 60-76 17%     4 - 1 -5.9 -6.7 +0.8
  Nov 29, 2023 242   Green Bay W 75-71 74%     5 - 1 -2.7 +3.0 -5.4
  Dec 02, 2023 142   @ Oakland W 98-77 34%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +25.1 +23.5 +0.9
  Dec 06, 2023 331   @ Southern Indiana W 70-57 80%     7 - 1 +4.2 -7.3 +11.3
  Dec 09, 2023 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 89-80 93%     8 - 1 -8.0 +4.0 -12.7
  Dec 16, 2023 315   Bethune-Cookman W 86-63 86%     9 - 1 +11.5 +4.7 +5.6
  Dec 20, 2023 33   @ Pittsburgh L 48-62 9%     9 - 2 +0.4 -18.4 +18.7
  Dec 29, 2023 194   Northern Kentucky W 73-60 66%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +8.7 -1.5 +10.0
  Dec 31, 2023 349   Detroit Mercy W 91-56 93%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +18.5 +1.0 +14.6
  Jan 06, 2024 156   Wright St. L 98-106 58%     11 - 3 3 - 1 -10.2 +2.7 -11.7
  Jan 10, 2024 141   @ Youngstown St. L 85-93 34%     11 - 4 3 - 2 -3.7 +9.5 -12.8
  Jan 12, 2024 305   @ Robert Morris L 88-91 OT 70%     11 - 5 3 - 3 -8.5 -1.0 -7.0
  Jan 17, 2024 361   IUPUI L 79-85 96%     11 - 6 3 - 4 -26.0 -7.7 -17.9
  Jan 20, 2024 197   @ Cleveland St. L 68-75 48%     11 - 7 3 - 5 -6.5 -4.9 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2024 194   @ Northern Kentucky W 63-58 46%     12 - 7 4 - 5 +5.9 -10.3 +16.0
  Feb 01, 2024 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-68 70%     12 - 8 4 - 6 -8.6 -14.6 +6.1
  Feb 04, 2024 141   Youngstown St. W 82-78 53%     13 - 8 5 - 6 +3.1 +3.0 -0.1
  Feb 07, 2024 197   Cleveland St. L 72-75 67%     13 - 9 5 - 7 -7.6 -4.2 -3.5
  Feb 10, 2024 361   @ IUPUI W 92-65 91%     14 - 9 6 - 7 +12.2 +9.3 +1.8
  Feb 14, 2024 142   Oakland L 63-71 54%     14 - 10 6 - 8 -9.1 -5.8 -4.0
  Feb 17, 2024 349   @ Detroit Mercy W 83-69 85%     15 - 10 7 - 8 +2.7 +10.2 -6.3
  Feb 23, 2024 242   @ Green Bay W 85-59 55%     16 - 10 8 - 8 +24.5 +18.6 +8.2
  Feb 25, 2024 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 88-96 51%     16 - 11 8 - 9 -8.4 +11.5 -19.7
  Feb 28, 2024 156   @ Wright St. W 79-77 OT 38%     17 - 11 9 - 9 +5.0 -10.6 +15.2
  Mar 02, 2024 305   Robert Morris W 83-65 84%     18 - 11 10 - 9 +7.3 +4.2 +3.1
  Mar 05, 2024 305   Robert Morris W 78-63 84%     19 - 11 +4.3 -2.6 +6.6
  Mar 07, 2024 142   @ Oakland L 65-75 34%     19 - 12 -5.9 -6.4 +0.5
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%