Pre-tourney Rankings
Stony Brook
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#160
Pace67.8#197
Improvement+5.4#22

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#175
First Shot-1.6#219
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#78
Layup/Dunks-4.6#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#123
Freethrows-2.0#307
Improvement+2.2#71

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#197
First Shot-1.1#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#144
Layups/Dunks+2.3#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#357
Freethrows+2.9#22
Improvement+3.2#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 33 - 53 - 13
Quad 416 - 219 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 25   @ St. John's L 74-90 7%     0 - 1 -0.3 +8.6 -9.3
  Nov 13, 2023 91   @ Duquesne L 63-85 18%     0 - 2 -13.1 -0.2 -13.8
  Nov 15, 2023 27   @ Nebraska L 63-84 7%     0 - 3 -5.4 -2.9 -2.4
  Nov 20, 2023 221   Rider W 55-48 69%     1 - 3 +1.4 -20.0 +21.4
  Nov 29, 2023 95   @ Yale L 71-79 19%     1 - 4 +0.6 +4.1 -3.7
  Dec 02, 2023 300   Wagner L 59-60 82%     1 - 5 -11.3 -9.6 -1.8
  Dec 06, 2023 358   Stonehill W 81-63 95%     2 - 5 -1.0 +7.2 -6.8
  Dec 09, 2023 183   Bryant W 86-75 61%     3 - 5 +7.4 +8.0 -1.4
  Dec 13, 2023 245   Norfolk St. W 84-78 72%     4 - 5 -0.7 +15.9 -16.0
  Dec 17, 2023 336   @ Army W 78-74 OT 80%     5 - 5 -5.3 +0.7 -6.2
  Dec 21, 2023 18   @ Michigan St. L 55-99 6%     5 - 6 -26.9 -12.4 -10.5
  Dec 29, 2023 188   Brown W 69-65 62%     6 - 6 +0.2 +0.6 -0.1
  Jan 04, 2024 250   @ Northeastern W 62-53 55%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +7.1 -9.2 +16.8
  Jan 06, 2024 100   College of Charleston L 87-93 38%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -3.4 +16.1 -19.7
  Jan 11, 2024 150   @ Towson L 64-73 OT 34%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -5.3 -2.0 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2024 313   @ William & Mary W 63-59 71%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -2.3 -11.4 +9.3
  Jan 18, 2024 181   @ Delaware L 68-71 41%     8 - 9 2 - 3 -1.4 +4.1 -5.8
  Jan 22, 2024 122   Hofstra L 74-80 46%     8 - 10 2 - 4 -5.7 +3.7 -9.6
  Jan 25, 2024 200   Monmouth W 72-65 65%     9 - 10 3 - 4 +2.3 -1.8 +4.2
  Jan 27, 2024 130   UNC Wilmington W 86-78 OT 48%     10 - 10 4 - 4 +7.9 +4.0 +3.3
  Feb 01, 2024 122   @ Hofstra L 71-72 28%     10 - 11 4 - 5 +4.5 +5.0 -0.5
  Feb 03, 2024 250   Northeastern W 59-55 73%     11 - 11 5 - 5 -3.1 -16.6 +13.7
  Feb 08, 2024 318   @ Elon W 79-64 72%     12 - 11 6 - 5 +8.4 +4.1 +4.8
  Feb 10, 2024 309   @ Campbell L 77-95 69%     12 - 12 6 - 6 -23.7 +0.4 -24.1
  Feb 15, 2024 338   Hampton W 93-73 90%     13 - 12 7 - 6 +5.2 +16.3 -10.7
  Feb 17, 2024 200   @ Monmouth L 61-84 46%     13 - 13 7 - 7 -22.5 -8.8 -15.1
  Feb 22, 2024 347   N.C. A&T W 80-64 92%     14 - 13 8 - 7 +0.0 +1.4 -1.1
  Feb 24, 2024 313   William & Mary W 75-62 84%     15 - 13 9 - 7 +1.5 -5.9 +7.1
  Feb 29, 2024 136   @ Drexel L 86-90 31%     15 - 14 9 - 8 +0.5 +10.7 -10.0
  Mar 02, 2024 181   Delaware W 79-56 61%     16 - 14 10 - 8 +19.4 +10.9 +10.3
  Mar 09, 2024 250   Northeastern W 75-65 64%     17 - 14 +5.5 +2.0 +4.0
  Mar 10, 2024 136   Drexel W 91-88 2OT 40%     18 - 14 +4.9 +11.1 -6.5
  Mar 11, 2024 122   Hofstra W 63-59 36%     19 - 14 +6.9 -4.4 +11.6
  Mar 12, 2024 100   College of Charleston L 79-82 OT 29%     19 - 15 +2.2 +3.7 -1.4
Projected Record 19 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%