Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#154
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#125
Pace63.2#322
Improvement-2.2#277

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#135
First Shot+0.5#168
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#107
Layup/Dunks-6.0#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#11
Freethrows-2.1#314
Improvement-1.2#250

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks+5.3#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#342
Freethrows-1.4#276
Improvement-1.0#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 37 - 59 - 9
Quad 410 - 219 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 347   N.C. A&T W 94-78 93%     1 - 0 +0.0 +10.6 -11.2
  Nov 14, 2023 167   @ Vanderbilt L 70-74 43%     1 - 1 -1.6 +2.6 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2023 104   @ Arkansas W 78-72 25%     2 - 1 +13.6 +6.2 +7.2
  Nov 24, 2023 217   UMKC W 76-64 64%     3 - 1 +9.1 +11.1 -0.8
  Nov 25, 2023 181   Delaware W 88-77 56%     4 - 1 +10.0 +15.8 -5.7
  Nov 26, 2023 205   Illinois-Chicago W 58-57 62%     5 - 1 -1.3 -8.0 +6.7
  Dec 07, 2023 208   Eastern Kentucky W 87-85 OT 71%     6 - 1 -3.1 +7.0 -10.1
  Dec 10, 2023 318   Elon W 82-73 88%     7 - 1 -2.8 -2.5 -0.8
  Dec 16, 2023 236   @ Marshall L 65-72 57%     7 - 2 -8.1 -3.9 -4.6
  Dec 19, 2023 124   @ High Point L 63-74 32%     7 - 3 -5.6 -6.6 +0.0
  Dec 29, 2023 23   @ Texas L 37-72 9%     7 - 4 -19.2 -25.7 +2.1
  Jan 03, 2024 144   Furman W 79-68 57%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +9.8 +6.1 +4.0
  Jan 06, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. W 70-54 66%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +12.3 -4.2 +16.2
  Jan 11, 2024 90   @ Samford L 70-79 21%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +0.0 +0.2 -0.2
  Jan 13, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga W 70-54 38%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +19.8 +3.4 +17.9
  Jan 17, 2024 267   The Citadel W 73-67 80%     11 - 5 4 - 1 -2.1 +8.4 -9.5
  Jan 20, 2024 199   Wofford W 82-59 70%     12 - 5 5 - 1 +18.3 +19.6 +2.7
  Jan 24, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina W 85-82 OT 32%     13 - 5 6 - 1 +8.7 +12.0 -3.4
  Jan 27, 2024 211   Mercer L 64-70 72%     13 - 6 6 - 2 -11.2 -8.2 -3.4
  Jan 31, 2024 359   @ VMI W 85-79 91%     14 - 6 7 - 2 -8.2 +1.8 -10.5
  Feb 04, 2024 144   @ Furman W 89-87 37%     15 - 6 8 - 2 +6.0 +22.5 -16.4
  Feb 08, 2024 90   Samford L 69-78 38%     15 - 7 8 - 3 -5.2 -3.0 -2.3
  Feb 10, 2024 147   Chattanooga L 61-89 58%     15 - 8 8 - 4 -29.4 -5.1 -28.7
  Feb 14, 2024 267   @ The Citadel W 76-61 64%     16 - 8 9 - 4 +12.1 +9.5 +4.2
  Feb 17, 2024 199   @ Wofford W 58-47 51%     17 - 8 10 - 4 +11.5 -10.2 +22.8
  Feb 21, 2024 121   Western Carolina W 71-65 51%     18 - 8 11 - 4 +6.5 +6.7 +0.5
  Feb 24, 2024 211   @ Mercer L 72-86 53%     18 - 9 11 - 5 -14.0 +1.6 -16.2
  Feb 28, 2024 359   VMI W 100-58 96%     19 - 9 12 - 5 +22.6 +22.9 +0.4
  Mar 02, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-66 47%     19 - 10 12 - 6 +0.5 +1.8 -1.4
  Mar 09, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. L 62-73 57%     19 - 11 -12.1 -4.8 -8.1
Projected Record 19 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%