Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#158
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#144
Pace65.7#262
Improvement-0.1#187

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#80
First Shot+3.4#84
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#133
Layup/Dunks-1.8#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#235
Freethrows+0.8#119
Improvement+1.6#100

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#286
First Shot-6.9#355
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#6
Layups/Dunks-4.0#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement-1.6#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 7
Quad 417 - 420 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 54   @ Oregon L 61-75 13%     0 - 1 -1.7 -3.8 +1.5
  Nov 12, 2023 165   UC Davis W 78-65 61%     1 - 1 +10.3 +12.6 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2023 266   North Dakota St. L 69-78 79%     1 - 2 -17.1 -4.4 -13.3
  Nov 24, 2023 2   @ Houston L 44-79 3%     1 - 3 -11.4 -8.9 -7.6
  Nov 29, 2023 41   @ Nevada L 66-77 11%     1 - 4 +2.9 -2.9 +6.2
  Dec 02, 2023 231   San Jose St. W 75-58 73%     2 - 4 +10.9 -2.0 +13.2
  Dec 17, 2023 231   @ San Jose St. W 86-75 55%     3 - 4 +10.1 +11.7 -1.5
  Dec 19, 2023 165   @ UC Davis W 73-61 41%     4 - 4 +14.5 +9.5 +5.9
  Dec 28, 2023 162   @ Weber St. L 63-93 40%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -27.2 -11.5 -14.9
  Dec 30, 2023 254   @ Idaho St. W 76-68 60%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +5.6 +9.3 -2.8
  Jan 03, 2024 266   @ North Dakota St. W 96-86 62%     6 - 5 +7.1 +17.7 -10.9
  Jan 06, 2024 322   South Dakota W 82-63 87%     7 - 5 +7.0 -1.3 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2024 206   Northern Colorado L 92-98 OT 69%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -11.0 +1.5 -11.6
  Jan 13, 2024 311   Northern Arizona W 90-47 85%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +31.9 +25.5 +12.8
  Jan 20, 2024 214   @ Montana St. W 87-77 52%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +9.8 +15.7 -5.7
  Jan 22, 2024 162   Weber St. W 77-62 60%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +12.6 +6.9 +6.8
  Jan 25, 2024 253   @ Portland St. L 46-72 60%     10 - 7 4 - 3 -28.2 -15.4 -18.5
  Jan 27, 2024 302   @ Sacramento St. W 70-67 70%     11 - 7 5 - 3 -2.3 +6.2 -8.0
  Feb 01, 2024 320   Idaho W 73-70 87%     12 - 7 6 - 3 -8.9 +3.1 -11.6
  Feb 03, 2024 152   Eastern Washington L 65-78 58%     12 - 8 6 - 4 -14.7 -9.2 -6.2
  Feb 08, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona W 94-66 72%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +22.1 +19.7 +2.7
  Feb 10, 2024 206   @ Northern Colorado L 71-87 50%     13 - 9 7 - 5 -15.8 -3.1 -13.1
  Feb 17, 2024 214   Montana St. W 88-69 71%     14 - 9 8 - 5 +13.6 +20.0 -4.9
  Feb 22, 2024 302   Sacramento St. W 68-61 84%     15 - 9 9 - 5 -3.5 +5.5 -7.5
  Feb 24, 2024 253   Portland St. W 82-73 77%     16 - 9 10 - 5 +1.6 +6.1 -4.7
  Feb 29, 2024 152   @ Eastern Washington L 79-89 38%     16 - 10 10 - 6 -6.5 +8.0 -15.0
  Mar 02, 2024 320   @ Idaho W 80-57 75%     17 - 10 11 - 6 +16.3 +7.9 +9.5
  Mar 04, 2024 254   Idaho St. W 79-65 77%     18 - 10 12 - 6 +6.4 +11.7 -3.6
  Mar 11, 2024 253   Portland St. W 87-81 69%     19 - 10 +1.2 +6.9 -6.2
  Mar 12, 2024 254   Idaho St. W 72-58 69%     20 - 10 +9.0 +6.9 +4.2
  Mar 13, 2024 214   Montana St. L 70-85 62%     20 - 11 -17.8 -2.7 -15.3
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%