Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Thomas
Summit League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#157
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#210
Pace59.8#354
Improvement+1.1#127

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#154
First Shot+2.9#94
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#304
Layup/Dunks+1.8#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#13
Freethrows-2.1#311
Improvement+0.6#147

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#193
First Shot-1.2#209
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#115
Layups/Dunks-1.8#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#114
Freethrows-1.1#262
Improvement+0.5#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 415 - 617 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 113   @ California L 66-71 28%     0 - 1 +1.2 +6.7 -6.3
  Nov 10, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 54-53 77%     1 - 1 -6.6 -13.7 +7.3
  Nov 17, 2023 329   Cal Poly L 60-61 86%     1 - 2 -12.3 -1.5 -11.0
  Nov 18, 2023 195   @ California Baptist L 62-66 48%     1 - 3 -3.2 +0.8 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2023 253   Portland St. W 76-70 69%     2 - 3 +1.2 +9.2 -7.6
  Nov 25, 2023 242   @ Green Bay L 51-64 57%     2 - 4 -14.5 -19.6 +4.3
  Dec 01, 2023 301   @ Western Michigan W 65-51 70%     3 - 4 +8.9 -4.5 +14.6
  Dec 06, 2023 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-71 71%     4 - 4 -1.6 +5.3 -6.4
  Dec 10, 2023 297   @ Chicago St. W 66-50 69%     5 - 4 +11.2 +4.3 +9.8
  Dec 14, 2023 12   @ Marquette L 79-84 5%     5 - 5 +13.9 +14.4 -0.5
  Dec 29, 2023 232   @ North Dakota W 70-45 55%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +24.1 +4.0 +23.2
  Dec 31, 2023 217   UMKC W 77-56 71%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +15.5 +14.2 +4.2
  Jan 03, 2024 320   @ Idaho W 75-67 75%     8 - 5 +1.3 +7.9 -5.6
  Jan 06, 2024 302   Sacramento St. W 63-50 84%     9 - 5 +2.5 -1.8 +6.9
  Jan 11, 2024 139   South Dakota St. L 80-81 55%     9 - 6 2 - 1 -1.9 +7.9 -9.8
  Jan 13, 2024 274   @ Oral Roberts W 87-76 63%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +7.8 +10.2 -2.6
  Jan 18, 2024 322   @ South Dakota L 73-74 OT 75%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -7.9 -4.7 -3.1
  Jan 25, 2024 266   North Dakota St. W 79-66 79%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +4.9 +7.8 -1.8
  Jan 27, 2024 232   North Dakota L 64-74 73%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -16.1 -10.1 -6.5
  Feb 01, 2024 261   @ Nebraska Omaha L 65-69 61%     11 - 9 4 - 4 -6.5 -0.4 -6.7
  Feb 03, 2024 217   @ UMKC W 71-56 52%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +14.7 +9.5 +7.2
  Feb 08, 2024 274   Oral Roberts W 85-63 80%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +13.6 +12.6 +2.5
  Feb 10, 2024 276   @ Denver L 77-94 63%     13 - 10 6 - 5 -20.2 -4.3 -15.2
  Feb 17, 2024 322   South Dakota W 83-80 87%     14 - 10 7 - 5 -9.0 +7.0 -15.8
  Feb 22, 2024 266   @ North Dakota St. L 50-64 62%     14 - 11 7 - 6 -16.9 -16.4 -3.1
  Feb 24, 2024 139   @ South Dakota St. L 72-77 35%     14 - 12 7 - 7 -0.7 +5.1 -6.1
  Feb 29, 2024 261   Nebraska Omaha W 88-61 78%     15 - 12 8 - 7 +19.3 +10.3 +8.9
  Mar 02, 2024 276   Denver W 83-58 80%     16 - 12 9 - 7 +16.6 +14.3 +5.8
  Mar 10, 2024 266   North Dakota St. W 68-58 71%     17 - 12 +4.5 +6.3 +0.4
  Mar 11, 2024 139   South Dakota St. L 49-59 44%     17 - 13 -8.3 -14.8 +4.8
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%