Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
138 Robert Morris 100.0%   14   25 - 8 15 - 5 25 - 8 15 - 5 +1.3      +0.4 164 +0.9 149 69.2 140 +3.2 120 +2.7 1
142 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   19 - 11 14 - 6 19 - 11 14 - 6 +1.1      +0.3 170 +0.8 152 71.0 96 +1.1 146 +1.2 3
163 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 8 17 - 13 12 - 8 -0.2      +0.8 153 -1.0 205 74.3 44 -1.1 175 -1.4 5
168 Cleveland St. 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 6 18 - 12 14 - 6 -0.6      -2.2 231 +1.6 122 64.4 281 -0.4 167 +1.4 2
182 Oakland 0.0%   15 - 18 11 - 9 15 - 18 11 - 9 -1.4      +0.4 161 -1.8 225 61.0 346 -2.1 193 -2.5 7
199 Youngstown St. 0.0%   19 - 13 13 - 7 19 - 13 13 - 7 -2.2      -2.6 240 +0.4 165 71.8 74 -1.1 177 +0.2 4
222 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 9 15 - 16 11 - 9 -3.4      -2.4 236 -0.9 202 65.4 250 -2.8 207 -2.3 6
229 Wright St. 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 12 13 - 18 8 - 12 -3.7      +1.8 123 -5.5 321 68.5 168 -4.8 246 -6.2 8
316 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 14 7 - 22 6 - 14 -9.3      +1.5 136 -10.8 363 63.4 305 -10.6 326 -8.4 9
334 Green Bay 0.0%   4 - 27 2 - 18 4 - 27 2 - 18 -11.3      -4.4 285 -6.9 346 71.5 81 -13.6 348 -16.3 11
337 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   7 - 24 4 - 16 7 - 24 4 - 16 -11.6      -7.9 345 -3.7 280 67.4 199 -9.8 317 -11.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Robert Morris 1.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 2.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 2.0 100.0
Oakland 6.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 6.0 100.0
Wright St. 8.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 9.0 100.0
Green Bay 11.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Robert Morris 15 - 5 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 - 6 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 12 - 8 100.0
Cleveland St. 14 - 6 100.0
Oakland 11 - 9 100.0
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 100.0
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 100.0
Wright St. 8 - 12 100.0
IU Indianapolis 6 - 14 100.0
Green Bay 2 - 18 100.0
Detroit Mercy 4 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Robert Morris 100.0% 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Purdue Fort Wayne
Cleveland St.
Oakland
Youngstown St.
Northern Kentucky
Wright St.
IU Indianapolis
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Robert Morris 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 2.9 57.2 39.9 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Robert Morris 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0