Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
196 Merrimack 0.0%   18 - 15 14 - 6 18 - 15 14 - 6 -2.0      -5.1 304 +3.1 91 62.8 319 -2.9 209 -2.2 2
208 Quinnipiac 0.0%   19 - 13 15 - 5 19 - 13 15 - 5 -2.7      -3.1 254 +0.5 161 77.1 15 -2.5 199 +0.1 1
246 Manhattan 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 8 16 - 13 12 - 8 -4.5      +0.9 149 -5.5 320 68.5 169 -4.8 245 -4.2 4
248 Mount St. Mary's 100.0%   16   21 - 12 12 - 8 21 - 12 12 - 8 -4.6      -4.6 293 0.0 171 68.1 181 -1.6 181 -4.4 6
253 Iona 0.0%   17 - 17 12 - 8 17 - 17 12 - 8 -4.9      -5.3 310 +0.4 164 69.5 131 -5.1 250 -4.4 5
256 Siena 0.0%   14 - 18 9 - 11 14 - 18 9 - 11 -5.0      -2.7 244 -2.4 241 67.3 204 -6.5 275 -7.8 9
264 Sacred Heart 0.0%   14 - 18 10 - 10 14 - 18 10 - 10 -5.6      -1.4 212 -4.2 299 74.3 47 -7.0 283 -6.5 7
268 Marist 0.0%   20 - 10 13 - 7 20 - 10 13 - 7 -6.1      -6.7 336 +0.6 156 61.6 341 -2.7 205 -3.0 3
287 St. Peter's 0.0%   11 - 16 7 - 13 11 - 16 7 - 13 -7.4      -7.9 346 +0.5 159 61.3 345 -7.5 286 -10.4 11
304 Rider 0.0%   14 - 19 9 - 11 14 - 19 9 - 11 -8.4      -2.8 246 -5.6 327 63.4 306 -6.9 280 -7.8 8
312 Niagara 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 14 10 - 20 6 - 14 -9.2      -3.7 271 -5.5 322 63.4 303 -10.4 324 -11.5 12
327 Fairfield 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 12 11 - 20 8 - 12 -10.3      -5.8 319 -4.5 309 65.6 248 -8.4 306 -8.0 10
356 Canisius 0.0%   3 - 28 3 - 17 3 - 28 3 - 17 -14.8      -5.0 298 -9.8 359 66.1 230 -17.1 357 -15.8 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Merrimack 2.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 1.0 100.0
Manhattan 4.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 4.0 100.0
Iona 4.0 100.0
Siena 8.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 7.0 100.0
Marist 3.0 100.0
St. Peter's 11.0 100.0
Rider 8.0 100.0
Niagara 12.0 100.0
Fairfield 10.0 100.0
Canisius 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Merrimack 14 - 6 100.0
Quinnipiac 15 - 5 100.0
Manhattan 12 - 8 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 12 - 8 100.0
Iona 12 - 8 100.0
Siena 9 - 11 100.0
Sacred Heart 10 - 10 100.0
Marist 13 - 7 100.0
St. Peter's 7 - 13 100.0
Rider 9 - 11 100.0
Niagara 6 - 14 100.0
Fairfield 8 - 12 100.0
Canisius 3 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack
Quinnipiac 100.0% 100.0
Manhattan
Mount St. Mary's
Iona
Siena
Sacred Heart
Marist
St. Peter's
Rider
Niagara
Fairfield
Canisius


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 100.0
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 60.6% 68.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 68.1% 0.7 31.9 68.1
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0