Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#180
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#195
Pace60.2#353
Improvement-1.9#268

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#286
First Shot-4.7#305
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#167
Layup/Dunks-2.1#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#257
Freethrows+0.2#159
Improvement-1.1#233

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#89
First Shot+2.9#84
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks-0.6#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#122
Freethrows+2.9#24
Improvement-0.9#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 34 - 8
Quad 411 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 153   Miami (OH) L 63-77 54%     0 - 1 -16.3 -12.7 -3.3
  Nov 10, 2024 14   @ Wisconsin L 56-87 3%     0 - 2 -10.4 -7.4 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2024 204   Queens W 65-53 66%     1 - 2 +6.7 -6.9 +14.4
  Nov 24, 2024 234   William & Mary W 79-76 71%     2 - 2 -3.8 +5.1 -8.7
  Nov 27, 2024 178   Sam Houston St. W 66-63 49%     3 - 2 +1.9 -5.3 +7.4
  Nov 29, 2024 258   Colgate W 72-50 65%     4 - 2 +16.7 +8.7 +12.2
  Nov 30, 2024 113   @ UNC Wilmington L 61-76 24%     4 - 3 -8.8 -1.4 -9.8
  Dec 14, 2024 90   High Point L 59-65 25%     4 - 4 -0.1 -16.7 +16.7
  Dec 18, 2024 306   @ Louisiana L 62-68 67%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -11.8 -7.7 -4.4
  Dec 20, 2024 81   @ North Texas L 64-68 16%     4 - 6 +5.7 +13.5 -8.8
  Jan 02, 2025 101   Troy L 61-69 39%     4 - 7 0 - 2 -6.4 -2.2 -5.2
  Jan 04, 2025 203   Texas St. W 72-61 65%     5 - 7 1 - 2 +5.8 +1.4 +5.5
  Jan 08, 2025 317   Coastal Carolina W 74-51 85%     6 - 7 2 - 2 +10.8 +10.1 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2025 165   James Madison W 86-66 58%     7 - 7 3 - 2 +16.9 +6.8 +9.5
  Jan 16, 2025 278   @ Old Dominion W 62-43 60%     8 - 7 4 - 2 +15.1 +2.7 +16.9
  Jan 18, 2025 165   @ James Madison W 58-50 37%     9 - 7 5 - 2 +10.4 -7.6 +19.1
  Jan 23, 2025 98   @ Arkansas St. L 55-65 20%     9 - 8 5 - 3 -2.3 -9.6 +6.5
  Jan 25, 2025 344   @ Louisiana Monroe W 66-58 79%     10 - 8 6 - 3 -1.7 -5.8 +4.7
  Jan 29, 2025 278   Old Dominion L 77-78 78%     10 - 9 6 - 4 -10.4 +4.4 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2025 257   Georgia St. W 80-76 74%     11 - 9 7 - 4 -3.8 +1.6 -5.3
  Feb 05, 2025 295   Southern Miss W 60-58 81%     12 - 9 8 - 4 -8.5 -12.2 +3.8
  Feb 08, 2025 190   @ Ohio W 72-59 42%     13 - 9 +14.0 +7.3 +8.2
  Feb 13, 2025 317   @ Coastal Carolina W 64-46 70%     14 - 9 9 - 4 +11.3 +0.5 +14.6
  Feb 15, 2025 257   @ Georgia St. L 65-70 54%     14 - 10 9 - 5 -7.3 -4.2 -3.7
  Feb 20, 2025 255   Georgia Southern W 79-74 OT 73%     15 - 10 10 - 5 -2.7 -2.5 -0.5
  Feb 22, 2025 171   Marshall L 59-69 58%     15 - 11 10 - 6 -13.3 -9.6 -4.8
  Feb 25, 2025 255   @ Georgia Southern L 59-61 54%     15 - 12 10 - 7 -4.2 -7.0 +2.5
  Feb 28, 2025 171   @ Marshall L 57-75 37%     15 - 13 10 - 8 -15.8 -8.2 -9.7
  Mar 07, 2025 278   Old Dominion L 56-61 70%     15 - 14 -11.6 -6.0 -6.8
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%