Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#269
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#292
Pace66.5#222
Improvement+1.5#124

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#220
First Shot-0.2#173
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#285
Layup/Dunks-0.3#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#229
Freethrows+4.0#15
Improvement+1.3#123

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#302
First Shot-4.7#317
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#133
Layups/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#214
Freethrows-3.7#358
Improvement+0.3#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 63 - 8
Quad 48 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 257   @ Georgia St. L 66-71 35%     0 - 1 -7.3 -8.7 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 77   @ Dayton L 69-77 7%     0 - 2 +2.0 -1.2 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2024 197   Indiana St. L 84-94 44%     0 - 3 -14.7 -4.6 -8.8
  Nov 20, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy L 59-70 78%     0 - 4 -25.3 -16.1 -9.7
  Nov 25, 2024 194   Eastern Kentucky W 63-61 34%     1 - 4 +0.0 -9.7 +9.8
  Nov 27, 2024 225   Richmond L 60-73 40%     1 - 5 -16.5 -6.4 -11.7
  Dec 08, 2024 232   @ SIU Edwardsville L 69-82 31%     1 - 6 -14.1 +2.3 -17.3
  Dec 14, 2024 341   @ Bellarmine W 86-82 62%     2 - 6 -5.4 +12.5 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2024 244   Evansville W 80-43 54%     3 - 6 +29.7 +13.9 +19.2
  Jan 04, 2025 140   @ Kent St. W 75-67 17%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +12.0 +1.6 +9.9
  Jan 07, 2025 153   Miami (OH) L 72-80 35%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -10.3 -1.7 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2025 292   Bowling Green W 91-69 66%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +11.6 +10.9 -0.3
  Jan 14, 2025 190   @ Ohio L 71-86 25%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -14.0 +1.0 -15.6
  Jan 18, 2025 247   Toledo L 75-93 55%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -25.3 -0.3 -26.7
  Jan 21, 2025 217   @ Central Michigan W 82-80 29%     6 - 9 3 - 3 +1.6 +6.1 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois L 66-76 64%     6 - 10 3 - 4 -19.9 -7.0 -13.3
  Jan 28, 2025 293   Western Michigan L 71-74 66%     6 - 11 3 - 5 -13.4 -0.7 -13.0
  Feb 01, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 89-76 63%     7 - 11 4 - 5 +3.3 +11.2 -8.1
  Feb 04, 2025 106   @ Akron L 73-81 12%     7 - 12 4 - 6 -1.2 +5.3 -7.0
  Feb 08, 2025 295   Southern Miss W 77-76 66%     8 - 12 -9.5 +1.5 -10.9
  Feb 11, 2025 275   Eastern Michigan W 86-84 OT 61%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -7.1 +4.3 -11.4
  Feb 15, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 89-83 OT 81%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -9.4 +0.2 -10.2
  Feb 18, 2025 247   @ Toledo L 66-67 34%     10 - 13 6 - 7 -2.8 -4.3 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2025 346   Buffalo W 80-66 80%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -1.2 -1.4 -0.3
  Feb 25, 2025 106   Akron L 82-87 24%     11 - 14 7 - 8 -3.7 +5.5 -9.1
  Mar 01, 2025 292   @ Bowling Green L 52-61 45%     11 - 15 7 - 9 -13.9 -16.5 +1.7
  Mar 04, 2025 217   Central Michigan L 67-69 49%     11 - 16 7 - 10 -7.9 -5.0 -3.0
  Mar 07, 2025 153   @ Miami (OH) L 66-79 19%     11 - 17 7 - 11 -9.8 -8.4 -0.8
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%