Pre-tourney Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#286
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#312
Pace65.8#241
Improvement+1.6#123

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#320
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#320
Layup/Dunks-2.6#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#150
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement+0.5#165

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#216
First Shot-0.1#182
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#297
Layups/Dunks-2.2#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#61
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement+1.0#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 412 - 1212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 51   @ Villanova L 63-75 4%     0 - 1 +1.8 -3.9 +5.4
  Nov 09, 2024 212   @ La Salle L 60-81 25%     0 - 2 -21.2 -12.8 -8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 281   Penn W 65-63 59%     1 - 2 -7.7 -1.8 -5.5
  Nov 16, 2024 126   @ Cornell L 71-81 13%     1 - 3 -5.0 -2.3 -2.9
  Nov 20, 2024 154   @ Rhode Island L 72-86 16%     1 - 4 -10.8 -2.3 -8.0
  Nov 29, 2024 301   LIU Brooklyn W 75-56 63%     2 - 4 +8.2 +3.9 +4.9
  Nov 30, 2024 312   Niagara W 59-47 67%     3 - 4 +0.1 -16.6 +17.6
  Dec 01, 2024 308   Binghamton L 81-82 OT 66%     3 - 5 -12.6 -1.7 -10.9
  Dec 07, 2024 340   @ Mercyhurst W 77-73 58%     4 - 5 -5.4 +6.2 -11.2
  Dec 18, 2024 117   @ George Washington L 62-82 11%     4 - 6 -14.3 -3.8 -11.7
  Dec 21, 2024 272   @ Portland L 64-74 35%     4 - 7 -13.5 -14.1 +0.7
  Dec 29, 2024 330   Stonehill L 65-70 72%     4 - 8 -18.4 -14.3 -4.2
  Jan 02, 2025 300   Boston University W 60-46 63%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +3.3 -6.1 +11.9
  Jan 05, 2025 274   @ Navy L 70-71 36%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -4.6 -0.7 -4.0
  Jan 08, 2025 224   @ Bucknell L 62-65 OT 26%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -3.7 -12.0 +8.4
  Jan 11, 2025 321   Holy Cross W 82-65 69%     6 - 10 2 - 2 +4.6 +4.7 +0.5
  Jan 15, 2025 323   @ Army L 68-70 49%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -9.1 +0.2 -9.6
  Jan 18, 2025 258   Colgate L 67-90 53%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -31.0 -10.6 -20.7
  Jan 22, 2025 309   @ Loyola Maryland W 80-59 45%     7 - 12 3 - 4 +14.8 +11.2 +5.5
  Jan 25, 2025 279   @ Lehigh L 47-86 38%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -43.1 -25.2 -19.7
  Jan 29, 2025 241   American L 68-75 49%     7 - 14 3 - 6 -14.1 -0.7 -14.1
  Feb 01, 2025 258   @ Colgate W 76-61 32%     8 - 14 4 - 6 +12.5 +8.7 +5.4
  Feb 05, 2025 309   Loyola Maryland L 58-71 66%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -24.7 -13.8 -12.4
  Feb 08, 2025 274   Navy W 61-51 57%     9 - 15 5 - 7 +0.9 -14.0 +15.3
  Feb 10, 2025 241   @ American L 58-60 29%     9 - 16 5 - 8 -3.6 -5.8 +1.9
  Feb 15, 2025 224   Bucknell L 69-75 46%     9 - 17 5 - 9 -12.2 -4.5 -7.9
  Feb 19, 2025 321   @ Holy Cross L 69-74 OT 48%     9 - 18 5 - 10 -11.9 -9.3 -2.6
  Feb 22, 2025 279   Lehigh W 78-70 59%     10 - 18 6 - 10 -1.6 +6.9 -7.9
  Feb 25, 2025 323   Army W 81-65 69%     11 - 18 7 - 10 +3.4 +1.2 +2.0
  Mar 01, 2025 300   @ Boston University L 64-66 42%     11 - 19 7 - 11 -7.2 -5.6 -1.7
  Mar 04, 2025 321   Holy Cross W 69-68 69%     12 - 19 -11.4 -5.7 -5.6
  Mar 06, 2025 241   @ American L 69-71 29%     12 - 20 -3.6 +0.7 -4.5
Projected Record 12 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%