Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#49
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#62
Pace63.5#302
Improvement+2.5#89

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#64
First Shot+5.1#57
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#190
Layup/Dunks+2.2#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#224
Freethrows+2.4#52
Improvement+2.4#78

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#42
First Shot+3.2#75
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#10
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#212
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement+0.1#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% n/a n/a
First Round0.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 12
Quad 26 - 39 - 15
Quad 33 - 112 - 16
Quad 45 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 279   Lehigh W 90-46 96%     1 - 0 +34.4 +16.2 +19.7
  Nov 09, 2024 77   @ Dayton L 66-71 54%     1 - 1 +5.0 -2.2 +7.1
  Nov 12, 2024 172   Illinois-Chicago W 83-74 91%     2 - 1 +5.6 +5.9 -0.6
  Nov 15, 2024 320   Eastern Illinois W 67-58 OT 97%     3 - 1 -3.3 -2.0 -0.5
  Nov 19, 2024 186   Montana St. W 72-69 92%     4 - 1 -1.3 +4.0 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2024 216   Pepperdine W 68-50 93%     5 - 1 +12.3 -5.3 +18.6
  Nov 28, 2024 73   Butler L 69-71 63%     5 - 2 +5.8 +0.6 +5.0
  Nov 29, 2024 94   UNLV W 66-61 71%     6 - 2 +10.2 +6.6 +4.3
  Dec 03, 2024 61   @ Iowa L 79-80 46%     6 - 3 0 - 1 +11.2 +7.7 +3.5
  Dec 06, 2024 20   Illinois W 70-66 OT 40%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +17.6 -3.1 +20.4
  Dec 15, 2024 91   Georgia Tech W 71-60 70%     8 - 3 +16.7 +3.1 +13.6
  Dec 21, 2024 110   DePaul W 84-64 83%     9 - 3 +21.0 +10.2 +10.6
  Dec 29, 2024 209   Northeastern W 85-60 93%     10 - 3 +19.5 +19.4 +2.7
  Jan 02, 2025 58   @ Penn St. L 80-84 44%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +8.7 +10.5 -1.7
  Jan 05, 2025 17   @ Purdue L 61-79 22%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +1.2 -2.1 +2.1
  Jan 12, 2025 7   Michigan St. L 68-78 29%     10 - 6 1 - 4 +6.9 +6.7 +0.0
  Jan 16, 2025 12   Maryland W 76-74 OT 31%     11 - 6 2 - 4 +18.2 +7.8 +10.3
  Jan 19, 2025 24   @ Michigan L 76-80 OT 25%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +14.2 +7.4 +7.2
  Jan 22, 2025 46   Indiana W 79-70 59%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +17.7 +15.0 +3.1
  Jan 26, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 74-83 22%     12 - 8 3 - 6 +10.1 +10.5 -0.6
  Jan 29, 2025 66   Rutgers L 72-79 70%     12 - 9 3 - 7 -1.5 +5.5 -7.4
  Feb 01, 2025 14   Wisconsin L 69-75 35%     12 - 10 3 - 8 +9.1 +11.7 -3.4
  Feb 04, 2025 60   USC W 77-75 66%     13 - 10 4 - 8 +8.9 +15.1 -6.0
  Feb 08, 2025 107   @ Washington L 71-76 67%     13 - 11 4 - 9 +1.7 +6.9 -5.6
  Feb 11, 2025 34   @ Oregon L 75-81 30%     13 - 12 4 - 10 +10.6 +14.7 -4.4
  Feb 16, 2025 57   Nebraska L 64-68 64%     13 - 13 4 - 11 +3.3 -2.8 +6.0
  Feb 20, 2025 40   @ Ohio St. W 70-49 33%     14 - 13 5 - 11 +36.6 +12.2 +27.0
  Feb 25, 2025 85   @ Minnesota W 75-63 57%     15 - 13 6 - 11 +21.2 +13.7 +8.5
  Feb 28, 2025 61   Iowa W 68-57 67%     16 - 13 7 - 11 +17.7 +4.0 +15.4
  Mar 03, 2025 25   UCLA L 69-73 45%     16 - 14 7 - 12 +8.4 +9.0 -1.0
  Mar 08, 2025 12   @ Maryland L 61-74 16%     16 - 15 7 - 13 +8.7 +0.9 +7.7
  Mar 12, 2025 85   Minnesota W 72-64 67%     17 - 15 +14.5 +8.4 +6.7
  Mar 13, 2025 14   Wisconsin L 63-70 26%     17 - 16 +10.9 +1.8 +8.6
Projected Record 17 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 0.9% 0.9% 11.8 0.2 0.7 0.0 99.1 0.9%
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 11.8 0.2 0.7 0.0 99.1 0.9%