Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#242
Pace68.7#156
Improvement-1.6#261

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#174
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#114
Layup/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#54
Freethrows+0.2#157
Improvement-2.3#288

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#276
First Shot-0.3#192
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#351
Layups/Dunks-0.6#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#144
Freethrows-2.2#318
Improvement+0.7#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 48 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 120   Louisiana Tech L 77-92 37%     0 - 1 -15.1 +8.1 -24.0
  Nov 13, 2024 60   @ USC L 95-98 8%     0 - 2 +9.4 +14.1 -4.4
  Nov 19, 2024 230   @ Missouri St. L 68-78 40%     0 - 3 -11.0 -4.0 -6.9
  Nov 26, 2024 143   Murray St. L 66-79 33%     0 - 4 -12.1 -7.0 -4.8
  Nov 27, 2024 277   Austin Peay W 68-58 62%     1 - 4 +3.4 -0.3 +4.9
  Nov 28, 2024 154   Rhode Island L 78-83 35%     1 - 5 -4.6 +1.2 -5.5
  Dec 02, 2024 344   @ Louisiana Monroe W 84-70 72%     2 - 5 +4.3 +3.7 +0.0
  Dec 12, 2024 98   @ Arkansas St. L 79-83 15%     2 - 6 +3.7 +9.3 -5.5
  Dec 14, 2024 344   Louisiana Monroe W 77-68 86%     3 - 6 -6.2 -1.7 -4.4
  Dec 18, 2024 244   Evansville W 80-54 64%     4 - 6 +18.7 +11.5 +8.8
  Dec 21, 2024 67   @ Liberty L 56-79 9%     4 - 7 -12.0 -8.8 -4.0
  Dec 29, 2024 203   @ Texas St. W 80-72 36%     5 - 7 +8.3 +7.6 +1.0
  Jan 04, 2025 273   @ Tarleton St. L 74-77 50%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -6.5 +6.0 -12.6
  Jan 09, 2025 291   @ Utah Tech L 62-74 56%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -16.9 -11.8 -5.5
  Jan 11, 2025 303   @ Southern Utah L 68-73 58%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -10.6 -6.0 -4.5
  Jan 16, 2025 111   Utah Valley L 83-85 OT 34%     5 - 11 0 - 4 -1.1 +4.0 -4.9
  Jan 23, 2025 149   Seattle W 65-56 45%     6 - 11 1 - 4 +6.9 +4.8 +3.6
  Jan 25, 2025 215   @ Abilene Christian W 79-76 OT 37%     7 - 11 2 - 4 +2.8 +9.5 -6.8
  Jan 30, 2025 303   Southern Utah W 70-68 77%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -9.1 +0.9 -9.8
  Feb 01, 2025 291   Utah Tech W 73-71 75%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -8.4 +5.9 -14.0
  Feb 06, 2025 111   @ Utah Valley L 73-94 18%     9 - 12 4 - 5 -14.6 +5.5 -20.3
  Feb 08, 2025 149   @ Seattle L 65-67 25%     9 - 13 4 - 6 +1.4 +1.1 +0.2
  Feb 13, 2025 164   California Baptist W 82-79 OT 48%     10 - 13 5 - 6 -0.1 +1.4 -1.7
  Feb 15, 2025 88   Grand Canyon L 75-82 26%     10 - 14 5 - 7 -3.7 +3.2 -6.6
  Feb 22, 2025 273   Tarleton St. W 67-57 70%     11 - 14 6 - 7 +1.0 -3.3 +4.4
  Feb 27, 2025 88   @ Grand Canyon L 71-85 13%     11 - 15 6 - 8 -5.2 +1.2 -5.8
  Mar 01, 2025 215   Abilene Christian L 59-70 59%     11 - 16 6 - 9 -16.7 -11.0 -5.9
  Mar 08, 2025 164   @ California Baptist L 68-70 28%     11 - 17 6 - 10 +0.4 +3.4 -3.1
  Mar 12, 2025 88   Grand Canyon L 75-98 18%     11 - 18 -16.9 +4.0 -20.2
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%